US Intelligence analysts have put out a report that says that unofficial steps by the Palestinians to create a State in the West Bank and Gaza will most likely yield fruit by 2030 but the issue of Jerusalem and Palestinian refugees is likely to remain unresolved according to the Jerusalem Post.
The report said:
“On the one hand, if the Islamic Republic maintains power in Iran and is able to develop nuclear weapons, the Middle East will face a highly unstable future. On the other hand, the emergence of moderate, democratic governments or a breakthrough agreement to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict could have enormously positive consequences.”
The report, “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds,” was issued by the National Intelligence Council, an analytical arm of the US government’s Office of the Director of National Intelligence.
This is the fifth such report to be issued by the group. The purpose of the report is to stimulate ideas and new directions among strategic decision makers in the US government.
Islamist terrorism might end by 2030 says the report but outside groups may resort further to cyber terror to accomplish their goals.
The report says:
“With more widespread access to lethal and disruptive technologies, individuals who are experts in such niche areas as cyber systems might sell their services to the highest bidder, including terrorists, who would focus less on causing mass casualties and more on creating widespread economic and financial disruptions.”
The other direction of the report was to discuss economic circumstances which can have a serious impact on the global scene. The top issue is that China will most likely be the world’s largest economy by 2030. The report further said that the US will remain the world’s dominant super power due to military technology superiority and the ability to put together world wide coalitions.
The report said of China:
“China alone will probably have the largest economy, surpassing that of the United States a few years before 2030. Meanwhile, the economies of Europe, Japan, and Russia are likely to continue their slow relative declines. China isn’t going to replace the US on a global level. Being the largest economic power is important … (but) it isn’t necessarily the largest economic power that always is going to be the superpower.”