The post-convention bounce for Donald Trump has ended, as three new polls show Hillary Clinton taking a significant lead in the 2016 presidential race with her own “bounce” from the Democratic National Convention, which wrapped up on Thursday, appears to have kicked in quickly.
Following the Republican National Convention in Cleveland that ran from July 18 to July 21, Donald Trump, who had trailed Clinton in the majority of polls and in all polling averages throughout the campaign so far, suddenly saw a surge in his polling numbers, and even creeped into a slim lead according to the Real Clear Politics polling average — by two-tenths of a percentage point — as of Monday, July 25, the first day of the Democratic National Convention.
— PBS NewsHour (@NewsHour) July 29, 2016
The Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll also showed a convention bounce for Trump. The day after the Republican Convention ended, the Reuters poll saw Trump leading Clinton by a stunning six points, 45 percent to 39. Though, by the following day, that lead had contracted to just 1.6 points.
But following a Democratic National Convention that saw stirring speeches backing Clinton from President Barack Obama, First Lady Michelle Obama, Vice President Joe Biden and even Clinton’s opponent in what turned out to be a bitter primary battle, Bernie Sanders, Clinton appears to be making a quick recovery from the brief decline against Trump that she suffered following the RNC.
The Democratic Convention concluded with a well-received nomination acceptance speech by Hillary Clinton herself. Watch highlights of Clinton’s speech, which was seen live by 33.7 million television viewers, according to the Nielsen ratings, in the video below.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll, as of July 29 shows Clinton with a clear, five-point lead over Trump, 40-35 with eight percent voting for another candidate, five percent abstaining from voting and 12 percent saying they didn’t know who to vote for or refusing to answer.
But because that poll is a five-day rolling average, it also encompasses data from the entire week of the Democratic National Convention.
The first poll taken entirely after the convention concluded was run on July 29 by RABA Research, a bipartisan polling firm. And in that poll, Clinton showed her most impressive results — and clear evidence of a convention bounce.
The RABA poll puts the Democratic nominee at 46 percent of the vote, with Donald Trump at 31 percent — a whopping 15-point victory margin for Hillary Clinton.
In the same poll, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson, a former governor of New Mexico, pulled in seven percent of the projected vote, and Green Party standard bearer Jill Stein, a physician and town council member in Lexington, Massachusetts, polled at two percent nationally.
Later on Saturday, a second post-convention poll was released, this one from Public Policy Polling, and also containing good news for Hillary Clinton.
— Michael Muller (@michaelcmuller) July 31, 2016
Not only did Clinton see a five point lead nationally over Donald Trump, 46-41, with Johnson and Stein also in the race at six and two percent respectively, but in a head-to-head matchup — without Johnson or Stein — Clinton reached the 50 percent mark for the first time, leading Trump again by five points, according to the PPP poll.
Maybe the best news for Clinton in the PPP poll came in her favorability rating, which showed significant improvement in the post-convention PPP poll. While Clinton is still viewed more negatively than positively overall, what had been a difference of 15 points between her favorable and unfavorable rating one month ago, according to PPP, is now just a six point difference.
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In the poll, 45 percent of voters now have a “favorable” impression of Hillary Clinton, while 51 percent do not. One month ago, only 39 percent viewed her in a favorable light, compared to 54 percent with a negative view.
While still lagging, the popularity of Hillary Clinton is now notably higher than that of Donald Trump, whose 36 favorable, 58 unfavorable ratings give him a spread of -22 points, improved by only one slim percentage point from late June, according to Public Policy Polling.
[Photo By Justin Sullivan/Getty Images]