If the latest 2016 Connecticut primary polls hold true, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will easily claim victory in their respective Democratic and Republican contests.
Republican Connecticut Primary Polls
While there are only two major April polls for both Republicans and Democrats, the most recent one from Quinnipiac University boasts impressive sample sizes. More than 800 likely voters responded to the GOP questionnaire.
In the Connecticut primary survey, Donald walks away with 48 percent of the total vote. John Kasich trails him by 20 percentage points with 28 percent, and Ted Cruz comes in a distant third place with 19 percent.
Also significant is another poll released by Emerson College a week earlier. While it had less than half the number of Quinnipiac’s responses, it predicted a similar outcome. Trump landed 50 percent of the 2016 Connecticut primary vote, and Kasich and Cruz came in at 26 and 17 percent, respectively.
While these poll results may make it seem like there’s not a lot of intrigue in the Connecticut Republican primary, just how big Donald wins will also be key who gets the most of the 28 delegates. In the state’s five Congressional districts, three delegates — 15 total — will be allocated to whomever comes out on top. At the state level, Trump has to hit at least 50 percent of the vote in order to take home all 13 at-large delegates. If he doesn’t manage to reach that figure, those delegates will be doled out proportionally, explained the Green Papers.
Essentially, the Connecticut Republican primary will be winner-take-all if Donald manages a simple majority, something he could easily do if the 2016 polls are on target.
Democratic Connecticut Primary Polls
On the Democratic side, the 2016 Connecticut primary is somewhat more competitive. While Bernie Sanders has not managed to win a single one of the state’s polls against Hillary Clinton, she has not beaten him this month by more than 10 percentage points. As the state boasts 71 delegates — 16 of whom are superdelegates — a strong win could net a significant prize on Tuesday.
In the same Quinnipiac poll carried out for Republicans, Hillary claimed a victory of 51 percent to Bernie’s 42 percent of the vote. That poll had more than 1,000 respondents, and was released just one week before the Connecticut primary takes place.
Emerson also released a poll for the Connecticut Democratic primary at the same time as its Republican data. Its findings showed a slightly smaller lead for Clinton, with just 49 percent of the vote compared to Sanders’ 43 percent. As it was taken earlier and had just a third the number of respondents of the Quinnipiac poll, it is the less decisive of the two polls.
Connecticut In The General Election
No matter what happens in Connecticut’s Republican and Democratic primaries, the state is almost sure to go blue in November, 2016. Last year, the Hill ranked all of the United States according to how many of each of their representatives and presidential picks were left-wing. Connecticut settled in at 14th place — with all of its representatives and senators belonging to the Democratic party.
Additionally falling in Democrats’ favor, Connecticut has voted blue in the last six presidential elections — generally by a wide margin. In 2008 and 2012, it polled for Barack Obama by 60 and 58 percent, respectively.
Now that you’re up to date on the latest 2016 Connecticut primary polls, you can check out the Inquisitr‘s other breakdowns for the Democratic and Republican races in Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Maryland, and Delaware.
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