A poll of New York voters released Sunday night says that Clinton’s lead is down to just six percent (53 percent to 47), according to the Guardian. It’s the latest ray of hope for the Sanders campaign, but with the primary vote there just two days away, is Bernie Sanders’ growing popularity too little too late?
An Emerson poll from about a month ago (March 14 – 16) showed that Clinton was 48 points ahead of the Vermont Senator. But Sanders’ popularity has continued to rise. The latest from Gravis/One America News says it’s now Clinton with 53 percent and Sanders with 47.
The Sanders campaign might not have enough momentum to win New York, but the campaign would still cause a major upset if they pick up enough delegates. New York is Clinton’s home state, which usually gives a presidential candidate enormous advantages.
The Gravis poll also says that out of those Democrats surveyed, 69 percent said they were “very likely” to vote in the upcoming primary.
The past few weeks have been relatively dramatic in the Democratic race. After Wisconsin, both candidates questioned the qualifications of the other contender. Bernie Sanders ultimately said that despite Clinton’s years of service, the fact that she’s taken money from big money special interests groups and voted for the Iraq war disqualifies her from the presidency, according to CNN.
Since then, both camps have called a cease-fire on that qualifications front.
Hillary Clinton and her husband have been accused of hurting the African American community with a 1994 police bill that led to a surge in the rates of incarceration. The focal point has been over the use of the word “super-predator.”
“I don’t know how you would characterize the gang leaders who got 13-year-olds hopped up on crack and sent them out onto the street to murder other African-American children. Maybe you thought they were good citizens. You are defending the people who kill the lives you say matter!”
On the other side, Bernie Sanders confirmed at a panel discussion that the word “super-predator” was used to refer to African American youth.
Bernie Sanders has also gotten into hot water. In an interview with the New York Daily News, Sanders said that gun manufacturers and dealers shouldn’t be held liable for the misuse of their products except in extreme circumstances.
The media outlet then ran the headline “Bernie Sanders Sandy Hook Shame,” referring to the shooting there and lawsuit filed by the victims against gun-makers. Victims of the shooting called on the Vermont Senator to apologize, but he did not, according to The Hill.
Now, the candidates are just two days away from the New York primary vote, and there is little left that can be done. The trend favors Sanders; the hard numbers favor Clinton. Real Clear Politics aggregated polls, which do not include the recently released Gravis poll, show Clinton is still over 12 percent ahead.
Nationally it’s a different story. Bernie Sanders has eroded Clinton’s lead to just over one percent in aggregated polls. Once again, the trend favors Sanders, and his growing popularity is bolstered by winning eight of the nine most recent contests.
Will New York be the ninth?
For Bernie Sanders there’s still hope, and even a close primary loss in Clinton’s home territory would be enough to shake the DNC.
[The original poll description contained an error saying the data was collected April 5th and 6th, it has now been corrected, the data was collected on the 13th.]
[Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images]