New poll numbers are in, and they’re showing a dead heat between candidates Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. With just 74 days left until we decide who will be the next President of the United States, it’s now anyone’s race among likely voters.
With just three days to go before the Republican National Convention, conservatives across the nation may have something to celebrate about. Presumptive GOP candidate Mitt Romney has inched up to Barack Obama in a CNN Political Ticker poll, putting the race almost neck-and-neck.
The numbers: the poll shows that 49% of likely voters will vote for Barack Obama and that 47% will vote for Mitt Romney. Don’t break out the champagne just yet, Dems. Though Obama looks to be in the lead by 2%, in terms of statistics, the numbers represent a tie. Among all registered voters, including those who just might stay home in November, Obama leads 52% to 43%, so it’s only good news for the president if he can inspire voters like he did in 2008 to cast their vote.
“Likely voters have traditionally been a more Republican group in past elections because they tend to turn out in higher numbers than Democrats, and 2012 looks like it is no exception. This explains why the margin between President Obama and Mitt Romney is smaller among likely voters,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “But it is a mistake to say that the race has tightened in the past few weeks, given the lack of movement in the results for registered voters.”
An by the way, there’s still hope for President Obama:
“Enthusiasm is down among key elements of the Obama coalition from the last presidential election, indicating that some of his supporters are not likely to vote unless something changes. The challenge for the president in his convention is to fire up his base and to turn those potential stay-at-homes into likely voters. If he can do so, the likely voter model may not work as much in Romney’s favor in September as it does in August,” adds Holland.
Lightning in a bottle, anyone?
Are you going to vote in the upcoming election or do you think you’ll sit this one out?