A collision that could shake the web to its foundations

There is no denying the fact that Facebook is a rolling force on the Internet that grows in size daily. Not only does it grow as far as users are concerned but it is also growing data wise at an astonishing rate as all those new users upload pictures, videos and talk back and forth. With more than 850 million photos uploaded each month and 10 million videos stored on their servers Facebook also shares more than 1 billion pieces of content each week.
For Facebook it is all about having the people using its service believe that Facebook is providing them with a home on the web where they can gather with friends, where they can share their stuff, and where they can find out what their friends think of products and services. It is this place that Facebook strives to give the illusion of openness while at the same time making sure that none of the potentially lucrative data they are collecting every minute after every second.
Google on the other hand is an engineers wet dream where everything is dictated by numbers and algorithms. Everything is done to make sure that the human touch is as minimal as possible. Their job is to try and index all the the information in the world regardless of its format, and get rich in the process as they use that data to feed their advertising network. If it can be sliced and diced Google will make sure it gets done.
However they are both going after the same thing in the end – massive advertising budgets built around company brands. Compared to those budgets Google’s current ad funded business,
and profits, is just a drop in the ocean. For Facebook even a portion of it would send it into profitability and remove the last stumbling block holding it back from being able to take on Google toe to toe – and trust me it will happen.
Already Facebook is in position to cause Google a lot of financial pain as more and more traffic is being driven blogs and websites from within the walls of Facebook. The battle of SEO supremacy may already have been lost without a shot being fired. Google’s big guns of SEO have come up against an enemy that doesn’t need to rank anything because its members are more interested in what their friends suggest rather than cold analytically produced results. To top it off Facebook is the biggest part of the web that Google’s spiders can’t crawl.
As Mike Wasylik suggested to bloggers on the Copyblogger blog today
But the rise of Facebook creates a growing segment of the web that’s completely invisible to search engines – most of which, Facebook blocks – and can be seen only by logged-in Facebook users. So as Facebook becomes ever larger, and keeps more users inside its walled garden, your web site will need to appear in Facebook’s feeds and searches or you will miss out on an important source of web traffic.
This is a dark web that not even can see into or negotiate its way into. To think that Google is blind to more than 1 billion bits of information a week, and growing. Even through their Facebook
Connect and letting their users browser to other sites they are still keeping all that activity information behind the Facebook wall. Information that it hopes will be incredibly attractive to all those companies looking to spend their big budget brand advertising dollars.
Things like AdWords and search driven advertising are great for providing people with a variety of companies willing to sell them something. As rich as that kind of advertising may have made Google, brand advertising could make them wealthy beyond belief. However they have a problem and it comes back to the root difference between the two companies. Google is algorithm driven whereas Facebook is people driven and brand advertising doesn’t work well with algorithms but on the other hand it works very well with people.
Fred Vogelstein puts it this way in a post on wired.com
For the last decade or so, the Web has been defined by Google’s algorithms—rigorous and efficient equations that parse practically every byte of online activity to build a dispassionate atlas of the online world. Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg envisions a more personalized, humanized Web, where our network of friends, colleagues, peers, and family is our primary source of information, just as it is offline. In Zuckerberg’s vision, users will query this "social graph" to find a doctor, the best camera, or someone to hire—rather than tapping the cold mathematics of a Google search. It is a complete rethinking of how we navigate the online world, one that places Facebook right at the center. In other words, right where Google is now.
It is inevitable that a time will come when the search titan will be challenged directly by the people driven titan in the making. There incredible amounts of money at stake, more so that even the hotly contested search space. Where even single percentage points in gains and losses can amount to millions this new brand advertising space could see those same percentage points worth billions.
The battle between Google and Microsoft pales in comparison to the one that is forming on the horizon between Google and Facebook. It is a battle that could very well shake the Web to its foundations and change how the Web used forever – or at least until some new upstart titan in the making comes along.













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Jun 22, 2009
Interesting and informative article.
I do think this highlights the power of recommendation systems and social medai especially when that system is built by people you know in real life but I think Facebook has a major Achilles heel. It is trying to accomplish all of this within a walled garden.
All of their efforts so far are about pulling content within Facebook. Even Facebook connect is not so much an extension of Facebook as it is a method of capturing other communities' interactions.
All the content within Facebook is a closed system. You can't embed videos, you can link to most pics, you can't share content outside of their playpen and this is not a sustainable system.
Facebook's clunky UI and lack of decent blogging features require content production to be done elsewhere and as long as that is the case their walled garden mentality will not work.
Google SEO is definitely under siege by social media as a whole but that isn't necessarily a bad thing. The answer to content discovery is great search and better recommendation systems and I wouldn't count Google out on the latter.
Facebook is fun and nifty but I just don't see it being a central hub for information until it becomes a 2 way street.
Jun 23, 2009
Very informative.. Let's just see who'll become big and rule the web entirely.. very interesting.
Jun 23, 2009
interesting. i do think both won't go away as they provide distinct value. facebook does need to integrate with the open web a bit more to allow for search, public profile (for blog and work networking like linkedin), before facebook can take more control over the web…
Jun 23, 2009
I might have at one time agreed with the 'not a sustainable system' unfortunately I'm not so sure any more.
Jun 23, 2009
If Facebook *ever* put itself on the auction block you would see the most pitched battle between Google and Microsoft that you have ever seen. IT would set records that make the price paid for YouTube seem like chump change at a soup kitchen line-up
Jun 23, 2009
glad you liked the post
Jun 23, 2009
Unless something truly radical happens I agree with you – we will have both companies around for some time. But as we have learn on the Web things can change within a blink of an eye.
Jun 23, 2009
When you have 200 million users and advertising revenue, obviously a system can be sustainable. But until Facebook introduces ways for its users to search through the wealth of Facebook content, it will not be satisfying.
For example, if I want to search for the latest news on my industry, there are various ways that I can do so – Google search, Twitter search, FriendFeed saved search. But Facebook isn't one of them. While Facebook allows me to search people, it does not allow me to search topics. Sure I could become a fan of something connected to my industry in Facebook, but how do I construct a search that tells me all of the latest Facebook content that has to do with my industry? I can't.
Perhaps at some point Facebook will allow us to mine the data outside of our friends, perhaps by partnering with someone who has experience in search (Google technology incorporated into Facebook? Bing on Facebook? Facebook buys Yahoo?).
Jun 24, 2009
Awesome post and much food for thought. It is clear to me as a marketer that the floor beneath my feet is constantly shifting, and I'd best keep that in mind before I start running in any particular direction.
Facebook has taken the game in a new direction over the past couple of years, and it's not completely unwelcome from my point of view. Collaboration and community values can't be bad can they?
The gauntlet that has been thrown down for those who wish to promote brands, products or services within the social network web, is to actually participate in the communities and communicate with prospects in a meaningful way.
The new mantra? Don't shout….listen and then whisper.