2013 Hurricane Season Half Over, Not The Catastrophe Forecasts Predicted

Kim LaCapria - Author

Sep. 11 2013, Updated 7:32 a.m. ET

In 2013, hurricane season is half over already — and while last year’s late breakout storm Sandy didn’t hit until nearly Halloween, the massive doom and gloom predictions for a wet and wacky hurricane season have, so far, not panned out.

As 2013 hurricane season marks its halfway point, we’re still more than six weeks out from the same point last year when Sandy swept in and decimated the Eastern seaboard.

But hurricane expert Jeff Masters isn’t worried about jinxing it as he told Reuters earlier this week that the predictions have not proven accurate thus far.

Masters is director of meteorology at the Weather Underground, and he said:

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“It certainly looks like pretty much of a forecast bust… Virtually all the (forecast) groups were calling for above-normal hurricanes and intensive hurricanes and we haven’t even had a hurricane at all, with the season half over.”

Climatologist Phil Klotzbach said that while there’s always a chance of a Sandy grabbing us off guard, 2013 hurricane season appears to be a bit less scary than predicted. He explains:

“Statistical models can generally reasonably well replicate hurricane activity … but there are always going to be years when you bust. We issue our final seasonal forecast in early August. But if we did put out a mid-season update, I would certainly back down from the prediction considerably.”

While Masters calls 2013 hurricane season a “head scratcher,” U.S. National Hurricane Center spokesman Dennis Feltgen warns that it is “a mistake to believe that the second half of the season would resemble the first half,” adding that in 2001, hurricane season ended with 15 named storms including nine hurricanes, four of which became major hurricanes” — and the first storm didn’t form until September 9.


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