Although Joe Biden jumped into a double-digit lead over Donald Trump in a national Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday, a Thursday Restoration PAC poll from Pennsylvania bodes better for the president. As reported by Breitbart, the poll, which surveyed 600 likely Pennsylvania voters, shows Trump with 50.2 percent support compared to Biden's 45.5 percent. The lead marks a 4.7 percent jump in the president's favor compared to the previous iteration of the survey.
Restoration PAC founder and president Doug Truax said the shift in support could stem from Gov. Tom Wolf's lockdown orders, which are allegedly causing frustration among residents of several counties that are still prohibited from reopening their economies.
"Definitely seemed to be some backlash in Pennsylvania against the virus shutdown orders and a confidence that President Trump can resurrect the economy," he said.
As noted by the pollster, Trump will likely need to win Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan to win in November. Although polls and experts expected the president to lose in these states in 2016, he ended up beating Hillary Clinton in all three — doing so by the most significant margin in Pennsylvania. According to Restoration PAC, Trump is currently losing to Biden in all states but Pennsylvania.
Given the similar demographics in the three states, the pollster claims that previous polls showed Trump's performance "vaguely in lockstep" in each region.
"There seems to be a convergence in these polls between results in Pennsylvania and those in Michigan and Wisconsin. Nationally, President Trump has surged a bit nationally in other polls and that might explain the Pennsylvania result. It will be interesting going forward to see if that divergence is cemented or whether the time frame of the polling might have played a stronger role in the differences."