If the 2020 presidential election were held today, Donald Trump would barely stand a chance of winning against any of the top five Democratic contenders, according to a new poll released on Thursday by CNN and SSRS research. But of all of the Democrats, former Texas congressional Rep. Beto O’Rourke would defeat Trump by the widest margin, according to the poll.
The 46-year-old O’Rourke, who ran an insurgent campaign for Senate against incumbent Republican Ted Cruz in 2018, only to lose by a slim 2.6 points, holds a commanding 10 percentage point lead over Trump in the CNN/SSRS poll. In the hypothetical, head-to-head election, O’Rourke defeats Trump with 52 percent to just 42 percent for Trump.
The Democratic candidate with the second-largest advantage over Trump in the poll was former Vice President Joe Biden, who took 51 percent to 45 percent for Trump. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders also beats trump by six points, but takes 50 percent of the vote — according to the CNN poll — to 44 percent for Trump.
As CNN reporter Ryan Struyk pointed out on Twitter, however, there is one demographic group with which Trump remains enduringly popular: white Americans who lack a college degree, the group generally described as Trump’s “base.”
Among non-college whites, Trump wins easily over every Democrat, even Biden, who comes closest at 13 points back. But among all voters, Trump would beat only Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, and by a mere 1 percentage point, according to the CNN/SSRS results. California Senator Kamala Harris beats Trump by four points in the poll, while South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg tops Trump by 3 percentage points.
Another poll released on Thursday, this one by Quinnipiac University, also contained bad news for Trump. According to the Quinnipiac survey, 57 percent of Americans believe that Donald Trump has been a criminal since before he took office, with only 28 percent believing that Trump did not commit crimes before entering the White House.
But when it comes to whether Trump has committed crimes while in office, however, Americans are more divided, according to Quinnipiac. The poll found that an equal number, 46 percent, say that Trump has committed crimes while in office, and that Trump has not committed any criminal acts during his term.
Nonetheless, with more than half of all Americans believing that Trump is now, or has been a criminal in his past, Americans overwhelmingly oppose impeachment proceedings against Trump — with two of every three, 66 percent, saying that Congress should not hold hearings aimed at impeachment, according to the Quinnipiac poll.