Early votes that have been returned by the states that allow early voting have been turned out in record-breaking numbers, reports Politico, with over 46 million votes cast early. Politico reports that women and Hispanics have turned out in “disproportionately high numbers” on 2016’s early voting results map in all swing states.
A model established by Slate Magazine called Vote Castr, and previously reported on by the Inquisitr, has data on the election happening all day today, taking those 46 million votes and turning them into state-by-state-data. That model currently has Hillary Clinton leading in Florida, Ohio, and Nevada, among many other swing states.
Meanwhile, in Nevada, Reuters reports that Donald Trump has already filed his first election lawsuit to toss out Hispanic votes in Clark County, Nevada. He was not successful.
In Florida, early votes turned out over 429,000 Hispanic voters through last Wednesday, reports Politico. That is reportedly a 158 percent increase from 2012.
There has also been a Hispanic surge in Nevada, notably in Clark County, home of Las Vegas, reports Politico. Last week, Clark County kept their polling stations open past the hours for voters that had been waiting in line. This is within their legal rights — if a voter gets in line before the polls close, the polls can stay open.
Today, Donald Trump filed a lawsuit in Clark County asking those votes get tossed, reports Reuters. He was not successful.
New: Trump just filed an election lawsuit in Nevada pic.twitter.com/7WM02jX9CO— Ari Melber (@AriMelber) November 8, 2016
When the polls in Nevada stayed open last week, GOP Chairman Michael McDonald said that it was done so a “certain group could vote,” reports Politico. That “certain group” would be Hispanics, as Donald Trump’s legal team sought to have those votes removed from the count today.
Women also are a big group in early votes, in all of the swing states, reports Politico. Women are also reportedly voting in “disproportionate numbers” to 2012. Politico also says that most women appear to be voting for Hillary Clinton, or at least opposing Trump, who Politico says “confronts a yawning gender gap.”
Daniel Smith of the University of Florida told Politico the following.
“If we take a closer look, where we’re really seeing women over performing is among Democrats and no-party affiliates. I think that’s largely a function of the Trump effect. If there’s anyone who’s energized by not having Donald Trump be president, it’s women and minorities, especially Hispanics. I think that’s where we’re seeing the real bump from 2012 in participation.”
Vote Castr is a methodology introduced by Slate this year, that uses third party vendor data and the number of ballots cast during early voting, along with sampling of open polling places, candidate preferences “as derived from pre-election polls and micro-targeting models” to reportedly provide near-live election results according to Slate Magazine. They call it “flipping up the kimono” to reveal how campaigns and news outlets get data throughout the course of the day on Election Day.
"VoteCastr" founder: "We’re flipping up the kimono and letting people see what campaigns do on Election Day." pic.twitter.com/gpySj26ZEH— Nicole Chung (@nicole_soojung) September 11, 2016
Vote Castr is reporting today that at the mid-point of Election Day, Hillary Clinton leads in the early voting results map for 2016 in many swing states.
These are not official election results, but are a form of advanced polling, while combined with early voting ballots. According to this model, Hillary Clinton leads in Florida with just over 4 million votes in Florida at the time of press, to Donald Trump’s 3.7 million votes.
Vote Castr also has Hillary Clinton slightly ahead in Ohio by just over 50, 000 votes at the time of press. Vote Castr also has Hillary Clinton ahead in Iowa and Pennsylvania.
Vote Castr does not have North Carolina maps for early voting results for 2016. But Project 538 reported earlier this week that Hillary Clinton was ahead by 6 points in early voting in North Carolina. Politico reports that women were 55 percent of that vote, 46 percent were registered Democrats, 30 percent were registered Republicans, and 24 percent were unaffiliated.
Vote Castr has Hillary Clinton leading in Nevada on their early voting results map for 2016, but only by approximately 50,000 votes at the time of press with a gap that is closing in Donald Trump’s favor.
Nevada is expected to be a hotly contested state for Elections 2016, and has already become a state that has made the news for Donald Trump’s first election lawsuit reports Reuters. Reuters reports today that the Trump campaign sued the registrar of voters in Clark County, Nevada, because they stayed open late for two hours last week.
This was done to accommodate those that were already in line to vote. As Reuters reports, Nevada state law permits polling stations to remain open for those that have joined the line by 8 p.m. local time. The polling station was a Latino market.
Kurt Eichenwald, senior editor for Newsweek, live tweeted the court proceedings on the hearing that occurred over the lawsuit today.
GOP shortens early voting, cuts way back on polling places, ID rules take time. 4 hr lines, polls open late. Trump sues 2 throw out votes.— Kurt Eichenwald (@kurteichenwald) November 8, 2016
GOP does everything it can to make voting lines as long as possible, then tries to throw out votes of those who waited in line? Obscene.— Kurt Eichenwald (@kurteichenwald) November 8, 2016
Eichenwald tweeted that the Trump legal team was trying to find out how individual voters voted in Nevada. It reportedly did not go over well with the judge.
"Why should I give u information about ppl doing their civic duty so you can harass them?'' (close quote.) Judge in Nevada to Trump lawyers.— Kurt Eichenwald (@kurteichenwald) November 8, 2016
"I am not going to expose people doing their civic duty to help people vote..to public attention, ridicule and harassment." Judge in Nevada.— Kurt Eichenwald (@kurteichenwald) November 8, 2016
"I'm not doing it." Angry judge in Nevada's "Trump wants hispanic votes thrown out" case.— Kurt Eichenwald (@kurteichenwald) November 8, 2016
Ultimately, the Nevada complaint was dismissed. Here is more on that suit from CNN.
According to Vote Castr, Hillary Clinton is reportedly ahead by approximately 7,000 votes in Nevada. She also reportedly leads in Wisconsin by approximately 140,000 votes and by approximately 16,000 votes in New Hampshire on the same Vote Castr early voting results 2016 map. According to Vote Castr, Hillary Clinton is ahead in every single swing state, even Ohio. If these results are correct, she could be poised for a landslide victory in 2016. Do you think there will be more lawsuits after the election?
[Featured Image by Mary Altaffer/AP Images]