Update 4:30 p.m. ET: The latest presidential odds from FiveThirtyEight see Hillary Clinton’s perceived chances of winning the presidency down from 81.1 percent this morning to 78.9 percent currently. Donald Trump is given a 21.0 chance of a general election win.
Two new national polls with data from Saturday, from IBD/TIPP Tracking and L.A. Times/USC Tracking, show Clinton leading by 4.0 percent and Trump leading by 2.0 percent respectively. Overall, the Real Clear Politics national average gives Hillary Clinton 47.6 percent of voter support and Donald Trump 43.3.
With the latest polls, Clinton’s lead over Trump has been reduced from 4.6 percent this morning, to its current 4.3 percent.
Original article: All eyes have been on been on presidential polls over recent days as revelations that a computer used to store emails by top Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton aide Huma Abedin’s now-estranged husband, former congressman Anthony Weiner, to “sext” with a 15-year-old have rocked the former Secretary of State’s campaign, as previously reported by the Inquisitr.
In latest polls, Clinton, Trump, and other nominees have maintained roughly the same levels of support. There has been a marginal but definite tightening in the Clinton-Trump lead both in the days leading up to and following the Weiner-Abedin email revelations.
The latest Real Clear Politics national poll averages featuring just Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald J. Trump, the Democrat is leading by 4.6 percent: 47.1 to 42.5. One week ago, the Clinton-Trump lead was 5.9 percent.
With the latest polls from Real Clear Politics featuring averages for all four candidate registering support at the national level, Clinton leads with the backing of 44.9 percent of the electorate, Trump is seen with 41.1, Libertarian Gary Johnson with 5.3, and Green Party nominee Dr. Jill Stein with 2.1. Hillary Clinton’s current 3.8 percent lead over Trump has shrunk from 5.6 percent one week ago, a greater decrease than observed in Clinton-Trump-only poll averages.
The latest poll data contained in averages currently reported by Real Clear Politics is from Friday, October 28, the same day the Clinton/Weiner/Abedin email news broke later in the afternoon. More time may be needed to determine if polls from Friday represent a true expression of voter sentiment with the new email news being disseminated.
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight current gives Hillary Clinton an 81.1 percent chance of winning the U.S. presidency, down slightly from the 82.0 percent observed on Friday before the Clinton-Weiner email news broke, as reported by the Inquisitr. Donald Trump is currently given an 18.9 percent chance of winning the November 8 election.
Real Clear Politics currently lists Maine’s second congressional district, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Texas, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, and Iowa as being each a “toss up” and too close to call based on latest polls.
FiveThirtyEight sees Hillary Clinton leading in Maine, Nevada, Florida, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina.
The presidential elections analysts see Donald Trump leading in Texas, Ohio, Georgia, Arizona, and Iowa.
In the latest polls in the Real Clear Politics “toss up” states, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in Florida, 44.7 to 44.3 percent; in North Carolina, 46.5 to 44.0; in Pennsylvania, 46.0 to 40.8; in Arizona, 43.5 to 42.0; and in Nevada 45.2 to 43.5.
Despite a slightly tempered view that Democrat Hillary Clinton will win the November 8 election, FiveThirtyEight has continued to ratchet up its expectation that the Democratic Party will take control of the U.S. Senate, now setting the odds at 72.9 percent, up from the 69.9 percent observed on Friday, seemingly unaffected by the Clinton-Wiener/Abedin email revelations.
“The risk is that by continuing to litigate the case, Clinton could keep the story in the news, which could be a negative for her even if further details prove to be exculpatory,” writes FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver with regard to the current challenges faced by the Clinton campaign.
In Apex, North Carolina, voters entering voting stations were reported to remain undecided, even just before they were set to cast their ballots. Early voting in North Carolina is watched closely. The state is viewed as being a “must win” for Donald Trump and a true swing state, with Democrat President Barack Obama winning there in 2008 and Republican Mitt Romney taking it back in 2012, despite losing the presidential race overall.
[Featured Image by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images]