Republican nominee for president of the United States Donald Trump increases his lead against Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, according to a Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California poll that was released on Sunday morning. The poll, which included 2,507 respondents, is updated every single day. Unlike other polls, it uses the weighted average of poll responses over the past week. This means the results will be more consistent throughout the week, but certain current events and breaking news may not show their true implications in the results.
The results from Sunday, September 18, show that 47.7 percent of participants support Trump. Only 41 percent of participants support Clinton, which is the lowest percentage since July 28, 2016. These results fall within the margin of error, so Trump should be considered in the lead in this particular poll.
While this is Trump’s largest lead in months, he has been consistently gaining support since September 11. During the same time period, Clinton’s support has fallen off from 45 percent. After the Republican National Convention and during the Democratic National Convention, Trump led Clinton 47.4 points to 40.1 points. Since the poll on July 28, the candidates have gone back and forth.
While Trump has struggled to gain support from black voters in the past, it appears as though things could be changing. As the New York Post notes, there has been a huge swing over the past week.
“Donald Trump is gaining support among African-American voters — whose enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton is eroding, a tracking poll released Saturday revealed. Trump saw a 16.5 percentage-point increase in backing from African-American voters in a Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California tracking poll, up from 3.1 percent on Sept. 10 to 19.6 percent through Friday. Meanwhile, the same poll showed Clinton’s support among that group plummeting from 90.4 percent on Sept. 10 to 71.4 percent.”
Trump has made controversial statements regarding minorities in the past, but he has recently made attempts to earn their votes. While calling for a temporary ban on Muslims entering the United States did not do him any favors, he did soften his stance to include only those from countries with a history of terrorism. Regardless, many feel as though Trump may have biases against certain races and groups of people.
While many are still weary of Trump’s policies towards minorities, his recent visit to a black church in Flint, Michigan, may have earned him new supporters. As Breitbart reports, he was still polling low among black voters prior to his visit to Flint.
“While media outlets have tried to assure readers that Donald Trump’s trip to a black church in Flint, Michigan was a disaster, Trump’s support among African-Americans immediately skyrocketed above 19% in the poll and has stayed there for four days, hitting an all-time high of 20.1% in the poll released after midnight Sunday morning. While the Times daily tracker, which experiments with allowing voters to give their honest opinions anonymously, has always shown Trump with more support than other polls, it has still indicated he was in the low single digits among black voters almost every day until his visit to Flint.”
In addition to the Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California poll, other important polls are also showing Trump’s progress. As the Inquisitr reported, the latest Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project poll shows that Clinton now only has a 60 percent chance to win the election by 18 votes in the Electoral College. Clinton’s projected lead has been falling dramatically over the past few weeks, and she actually had a 95 percent chance to win the election by 108 votes in the Electoral College in late August.
Additionally, the project says that Trump is now the likely winner in Florida and has a realistic chance to win Pennsylvania. With the first debate scheduled for Monday, September 26, a lot could change over the next few weeks. As quickly as Trump has gained support recently, things could easily swing back to Clinton. Regardless, November’s election is now less than two months away, and the polls should continue to be volatile.
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