What Are The Odds Donald Trump Will Drop Out? Betting Sites Offer Odds On 2016 Election

Donald Trump has had a bad few weeks since he accepted the Republican nomination, and now some people are placing bets the real estate billionaire will drop out of the 2016 presidential race.

Trump’s campaign has denied allegations their candidate is considering dropping out, but senior Republican leaders are considering the possibility and that has odd makers placing bets.

One online betting site, William Hill, is offering 10/1 odds that Trump won’t be the official Republican nominee on the November ballot, company spokesman Graham Sharpe told the SFGate.

“Persistent rumors are circulating that Trump will pull out of the race, but we think that is very unlikely.”

Meanwhile, Betfair, a British prediction website, is giving the Republican Party a 25.8 percent chance of winning the presidency, but they’re only giving Trump a 24.1 percent chance. The 1.7 percent difference is the probability Donald will drop out and another Republican candidate will win the White House.

The betting market PredictIt is giving Trump an 8 percent chance of dropping out and a whopping 93 percent chance of staying in the race until November.

In contrast, Hillary Clinton was given a 4/11 or 73 percent chance of winning the election by the betting site William Hill even though gamblers appear to be placing more of their money on Trump.

The question remains: why is everyone talking about Donald Trump dropping out of the 2016 election?

Donald has had a bad few weeks since he secured the Republican nomination. He threw a mother and her crying baby out of one of his rallies, criticized Muslim-American parents whose son died fighting in the Iraq War, and failed to endorse House Speaker Paul Ryan and Sen. John McCain.

Then, nude photos of his wife, Melania Trump, were released amid rumors she didn’t complete her college degree like she claimed and she may have once been an illegal immigrant. Donald’s campaign refused to release Melania’s immigration papers, which has only helped fuel the controversy.

Later in the week, Trump accused the 2016 presidential election of being rigged, and now senior Republicans are talking about what they would do if Trump drops out, political journalist Jon Karl told the Daily Dot.

“The answer … is they can’t force him out; he would have to go out voluntarily. And it would have to be the 167 members of the RNC through a complicated process to pick a new candidate. And it would have to happen by early September.”

The Trump campaign went on to fuel rumors of Donald’s impending exit from the race when his chairman, Paul Manafort, went on CBS This Morning and said he would endorse Ryan for president, according to Politico.

“Look, I support the speaker, and I know after next week, I’m supporting him as a candidate for president, too.”

Donald himself has given no indication he intends to drop out of the presidential race, but on Fox News Hannity this week the candidate called the 2012 election unfair, according to The Wrap.

“I hope the Republicans are watching closely or it’s going to be taken away from us.”

Trump is trailing Clinton in two national polls released Thursday. A McClatchy-Marist survey shows Clinton with a 15-point lead while an NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll has her leading Donald by only nine points, but Alabama Sen. Jeff Sessions told CNN he didn’t think the numbers would hold.

“Donald Trump is a campaigner and a warrior. The numbers had him up not long ago. He’s down some now and I think you’ll see a rebound, no doubt about it, heading into November.”

What do you think? Would you be willing to bet Donald Trump drops out of the 2016 presidential election?

[Photo by Evan Vucci/AP Images]