Republican nominee for United States president Donald Trump gains support among likely voters against presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll that was released late Tuesday night by Reuters. The poll, which was conducted from July 15-19 and included 1,069 likely voters, had a measure of accuracy of three percentage points.
“Forty-three percent of likely voters supported Clinton in the July 15-19 poll, while 36 percent supported Trump. The poll included 1,069 voters and had a credibility interval, a measure of accuracy, of 3 percentage points. The previous poll, in which Trump trailed Clinton by 15 percentage points, covered the five-day period that ended July 14.”
While other recent polls from different organizations — notably a combined poll from New York Times/CBS News — showed Trump and Clinton tied, or Trump slightly ahead, the latest Reuters/Ipsos polls have consistently had Clinton as the clear winner. Trump had temporarily gained support after last month’s massacre at Pulse, an LGBT nightclub in Orlando, Florida, but Clinton quickly regained her double-digit lead.
Trump’s comments regarding illegal immigration and Muslims have rubbed many people the wrong way. While Trump has claimed that he would only look to depot illegal immigrants, as opposed to legal immigrants, many believe that he is racist for his views. Additionally, he wants to temporarily prevent Muslims from entering the United States from countries with ties to terror groups, but his message is being criticized among members of both parties. Trump claims that his goal is to keep the United States safe from radical Islamic terrorism, but many voters feel as though he is being a bigot, which explains his drop in the polls towards the end of June into the beginning of July.
While Trump has his own controversies, Clinton is still attempting to recover from the recent email scandal. Even though the FBI is not going to charge her with any crimes, her credibility has been harmed by the entire ordeal. Many potential voters feel as though her actions in handling important and classified emails were careless. Numerous speakers at the Republican National Convention have discussed this issue in great detail, but it is probably too early to tell how it is going to affect upcoming polls.
The Republican National Convention, which started on Monday, July 18, only included two days of the most recent poll. While Trump has not made his main speech yet, that will happen tonight, he has made numerous appearances — most notably to introduce his wife, Melania Trump. Many people viewed her speech as sincere and impressive, but the fact that certain sentences were plagiarized from Michelle Obama’s speech in 2008 has created a controversy of its own. Trump’s camp eventually admitted to the mistake, but it took them a few days. This took the media’s focus off of the important issues and onto the plagiarism issue for much longer than Trump’s camp would have liked.
Down by seven points, it is going to be interesting to see how the past few days of the Republican National Convention alter the upcoming polls. While Ted Cruz congratulated Trump last night in his speech, he did not endorse him. This led to him being booed off the stage, and it is another shining example that the Republican Party is not unified. Regardless, Trump’s running mate, Indiana Governor Mike Pence, also spoke last night, and many political commentators feel as though he gave a great speech.
Trump’s speech tonight is likely going to have the biggest impact on the upcoming polls. What he decides to talk about remains to be seen, but undecided voters are desperate to hear solutions to important issues that the United States is currently facing, including the recent police shootings, unarmed black men being shot by police, immigration, and terrorism.
November’s election is less than four months away, and a lot is going to change in the upcoming polls between Republican nominee for United States president Donald Trump and presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.
[Photo by John Moore/Getty Images]