A new Quinnipiac University poll suggests that GOP presidential front-runner Donald Trump has made significant inroads in the key swing states of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania against likely Democrat opponent Hillary Clinton.
“Six months from Election Day, the presidential races between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the three most crucial states, Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, are too close to call,” a Quinnipiac official declared about the latest findings.
About 75 percent of the Quinnipiac poll respondents in the same survey also approve of requiring voters to show a government-issued photo ID to cast a ballot in an election.
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Although methodology can differ substantially, several prior polls have made Hillary Clinton a lock for the presidency in a head-to-head matchup against Trump.
According to Quinnipiac, however, in Florida and Pennsylvania, Trump and Clinton are virtually tied, while Trump actually holds a four-point lead in Ohio if this new data is accurate. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has a small lead over Trump in Florida and Ohio and a six-point margin in Pennsylvania, the same survey indicated, which will no doubt continue the debate about electability on the Democrat side.
The results have a margin of error of three points, so the consumer may or may not want to take this or any other poll (especially those with a vested interest in a particular outcome, which may be a form of misdirection) with a grain of salt this far from the actual general election in November.
Separately, a Reuters national tracking poll today shows that Trump and Hillary Clinton are virtually tied, with trend line showing that she has lost ground to the brash billionaire since the beginning of the year.
Swing states are those that are up for grabs in the general election for both parties.
“The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of these three states…Trump would do a better job handling the economy, voters say. He also would do a better job handling terrorism, voters in Florida and Ohio say. Pennsylvania voters are divided,” Quinnipiac explained.
Quinnipiac polling data also revealed that both candidates continue to have the high unfavorability ratings that many other surveys similarly found, and that while a gender gap exists in voter preference, “it currently benefits Trump.” The ex-Celebrity Apprentice star has a better shot in Pennsylvania at this point in time than his 2008 and 2012 counterparts John McCain and Mitt Romney, the Quinnipiac poll summary asserted.
“One key area of concern for Trump is the perception that Clinton has a better temperament to handle an international crisis,” Gateway Pundit noted about the Quinnipiac poll.
Quinnipiac contacted about 1,000 voters in each of the three states via landline and cell phone to compile its findings.
Late last month, a George Washington University poll suggested that Donald Trump had pulled to within three points of Clinton. About a week ago, Rasmussen issued a poll that showed the New York real estate mogul with a two-point national lead over Clinton.
Former Barack Obama advisor Van Jones, who is an outspoken Trump foe, took to Facebook recently to warn his fellow liberals/progressives that “Donald Trump not only can win the presidency, he probably will win the presidency…”
The presidential election is fought on a state-by-state basis, with the winner needing at least 270 votes in the electoral college.
Rightly or wrongly, many Democrats, the #neverTrump GOP establishment, pro-Ted Cruz conservative journalists, and others seem to have convinced themselves — at least based on their public commentary — that Trump, who is the presumptive Republican nominee, has no chance of winning against Clinton, who is currently favored to win her party’s nomination for president.
Trump — whose unconventional candidacy, like him or hate him, has defied expectations all along — has repeatedly boasted that he will defeat Hillary Clinton easily. He is perhaps the only Republican presidential candidate in the original field of 17 that could put any blue or purple state into play for the GOP.
Dilbert creator Scott Adams, who has long predicted a Trump landslide win in November (even though he doesn’t support the candidate on the issues), claims that “master persuader” Trump is pivoting to a third act that will lead to victory in November, regardless of any polling data to date.
Who do you think will win in election 2016: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton (assuming that they become the major party candidates for president)?
[Photo by Julie Jacobson/AP Images]