With a presidential election match-up of Donald Trump against Hillary Clinton now all but certain for November, polls have quickly painted a picture of who will win that contest and become the next President of the United States, though technically the primary campaigns in both the Democratic and Republican parties have not yet wound down.
That picture does not look good — for Donald Trump.
After Donald Trump scored a resounding 16.6 percentage point victory in the Indiana primary on Tuesday, his two remaining Republican opponents — Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich — finally pulled out of the race, leaving Trump as the only candidate remaining and ending their “Stop Trump” effort to prevent the New York real estate mogul and television entertainer from gaining enough delegates to win the nomination automatically.
As for Hillary Clinton, though she lost the Indiana vote to her persistent opponent, “democratic socialist” Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders by a narrow 5.4 points, she gained 39 pledged delegates to 44 for Sanders, allowing her to maintain her insurmountable lead over Sanders.
Clinton has already turned her attention to Trump, releasing a scathing online video advertisement on Wednesday, using the words of other Republicans to attack Trump.
Watch the Clinton anti-Donald Trump ad in the video below.
“President Trump” is a dangerous proposition.
Mitt Romney, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio agree.https://t.co/fUkISvgaXC
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) May 4, 2016
Trump has also commenced his assault on Hillary Clinton, taking to his frequent forum of the MSNBC Morning Joe program on Wednesday to launch his latest broadside, saying that she deserved to “suffer” as a result of questions regarding her private email server.
Despite his Indiana victory on Tuesday, Sanders was mathematically eliminated from winning the nomination with pledged delegates alone. He will need to somehow persuade the non-pledged “super” delegates now committed to Clinton to switch their votes — a remote possibility at best.
But even though Donald Trump won his primary race quicker and in a more definitive fashion than Clinton is winning her contest against the pesky Sanders, polls show — and experts agree — that the newly minted Republican presumptive nominee faces a steep uphill climb in his race against Hillary Clinton, which will culminate on November 8 with the nationwide general election.
MORE interesting stuff. Liberal voters – vast majority will stay with Clinton. pic.twitter.com/QbwbyoY2KK
— Benchmark Politics (@benchmarkpol) May 4, 2016
A new poll released Wednesday by CNN and ORC International, conducted between April 28 and May 1 — prior to the Indiana primary but after last week’s five-state Super Tuesday primaries won overwhelmingly by Trump and Clinton — shows that Clinton leads Trump by 13 percentage points, with 54 percent to 41 for the Republican.
The poll also revealed that Donald Trump’s most difficult opponent may not be Clinton at all, but Trump himself. About 51 percent of Clinton supporters, according to the poll, said that they would be casting a negative vote against Trump rather than an affirmative vote for Clinton.
The poll also showed that Trump’s own support is even softer and driven by animosity toward his opponent, with a full 57 percent of prospective Trump voters saying that they opposed Hillary Clinton more than they supported Donald Trump.
One worry for the Clinton campaign has been the so-called “Bernie or Bust” voters, who say they will refuse to vote for Clinton under any circumstances and in some cases may even cast a protest vote for Trump.
But the new CNN/ORC poll showed that supporters of Bernie Sanders are not, in fact, turning their backs on Clinton in large numbers, with 86 percent saying that they prefer Hillary Clinton to Donald Trump and only 10 percent responding that they would rather vote for Trump.
That percentage of anti-Clinton Sanders supporters is roughly the same as the number of self-described Clinton supporters in the 2008 election who said that they voted for Republican John McCain over Democrat Barack Obama, who had defeated Clinton in the Democratic primaries that year.
From CNN poll: “Who can better handle” pic.twitter.com/lTnnyS6zCA
— Benchmark Politics (@benchmarkpol) May 4, 2016
But the poll showed that Donald Trump has an even bigger problem with defectors, as 28 percent of conservative voters are saying that they would vote for Hillary Clinton in order to stop Donald Trump from winning the White House.
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- HuffPost Says It’s Time For Hillary Clinton To Concede To Bernie Sanders
- Hillary Clinton: ‘Deal Me In!’ 2016 Frontrunner Pushes ‘Playing The Woman Card’ For Health Care, Equal Pay
The new CNN/ORC poll falls in line with most recent polls pitting Hillary Clinton against Donald Trump in the November presidential election. Of nine polls released in April or early May, only two failed to show a Clinton lead, both of them conducted by Rasmussen Reports. In the Real Clear Politics polling average, Clinton leads Trump by 6.5 percent, meaning that the Republican has plenty of work to do if he hopes to win the presidency.
Featured Photos By Joe Raedle/Getty Images]