Mainstream political thought and news would have you think the 2015-2016 election cycle is business as usual. Republicans vs. Democrats, another Bush vs. Clinton potential campaign cycle, but to those who walk with both eyes open, there’s a lot more than meets the eye. It’s kind of like a layman vs. a mechanic looking at a car. The layman might say, “Meh. It doesn’t always run well. Fords are so much better though,” or ” Chevys are so much better.”
A mechanic would say, “they’re both made about the same, but your car’s transmission is about to fall out of your car.” Essentially, there’s a lot more going on under the hood than most realize, whether via ignorance or sheer lack of knowledge. Both parties are at an impasse, whether party leaders want to admit it or not. On the surface, they both seem cool, calm, and collected, but both are frightened of the shrinking voting block.
Trump vs. Bush vs. the Republican Party
Republicans who would vote for the current crop of Republicans are voting for Democrats. The Big Rs are “Democrat-lite.” If you want more of the same, vote the same Republicans back in. Do not believe their malarkey. Let me tell you a little story, for those who forgot. They told voters in 2009-2010 that they needed the house to do something, so Republican voters gave them the house. They did nothing. The voters complained, so Boehner said they needed both houses of Congress to really do anything, so Republican voters gave them that in 2012.
Republicans ostracized Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and anyone who attempted to change the status quo. If that wasn’t bad enough. The Big Rs shoved McCain and Romney down the voters throat, despite their conservative credentials. Conservatives and Republicans held their nose, or fell for the narrative and voted for a milquetoast, lukewarm Republican, and big surprise, they lost miserably. So, when the Republican Party asked you to vote for Jeb Bush or Chris Christie, or the faux Republican Donald Trump, remember their past promises because now they say they need the higher office as well to do something.
Republican leadership continue to ignore their own party. They are lock step with President Obama, elect speakers against the party, and continually demean the base or anyone who stands in their way to destroy opposition. The closer the Republican Party slides to the left, the closer they get to go the way of the Whig party and become irrelevant and lost to the pages of history.
John Ellis Bush, JEB, or Bush, whatever he is calling himself these days has been the presumptive Republican candidate. However, with every “misspeak,” mistake, and poor debate performance, it looks less and less likely. The Big Rs are seeking their new Republican champion. Though Donald Trump has the a large swathe of the conservative base bewitched, the more likely candidate is Marco Rubio. Rubio is over-the-top hawkish, young, charismatic, and helps the deficit their Democrat rivals claim they have with the Hispanic voter.
Yet, there is still no overwhelming consensus on one Republican Party candidate. The consistent top vote recipient in many polls, Donald Trump, still merely gets far below the half of the party’s vote.
The massive purple elephant in the room is the one Republican candidate that bests Hillary Clinton over and over, and that is Republican Senator Rand Paul. Breitbart News reported that a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll found Paul overtakes Clinton 47 to 44 percent.
Bernie vs. Hillary vs. the Democrat party
Though Bernie represents the current soul of the Democratic Party, the establishment prefers the “Republican establishment-lite” candidate Hillary Clinton, so that is what voters will get. Case in point, during the first Democratic debate, a question regarding Black Lives Matters was asked. It was whether each Democratic party candidate was for or against them, until it reached Hillary Clinton, who was asked a far more specific question. Bernie Sanders was asked a specific question regarding gun control, gave a specific answer, and Hillary was asked if Sanders’ response was too radical.
Democrats, at least the average Democratic voters, want Bernie Sanders. The Big Ds, even though they support Democratic Socialism, prefer the more hawkish, Big R-lite 2016 election candidate. The Democratic Party’s voter consensus is a little better with Hillary Clinton receiving 52 percent, and Bernie Sanders getting 40 percent, according to Gallup. Though, asking the average Democratic voter might yield closer results.
The Independent curve
As Republican and Democratic vie for votes, dominance, and the 2016 presidential elections, Gallup reported last year that America is in a state of flux. Not Republican or Democrat, but independent. Forty-two percent identify as independent vs. 25 percent as Republican vs. 31 percent identifying as Democrat. A lot changes in a year.
Republican Senator Rand Paul seemingly has the best numbers of any candidate, at 45 to Clinton’s 37 percent, the Kentucky Republican bests the popular establishment Democrat.
Though it would appear that the Democrat party is more closely unified and decisive in their choice, the establishment of Big R or Big D is still completely at odds with the average Democratic or Republican voter. Though, the Inquisitr has predicted a Bush Vs. Clinton round 2 for the 2016 election cycle, three factors can change the face of 2016. The Bush blunder, Rubio rise, or a Democratic darkhorse candidate. At this point, the former two regarding the Republican Party and 2016 elections, is the most likely.