2015 Hurricane Season: Tropical Storm Grace’s Path Forecast For The Caribbean Islands

The 2015 hurricane season has already spawned multiple tropical cyclones and hurricanes in both the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Tropical Storm Grace’s path has only begun to wind its way in the direction of the Caribbean islands, but is the forecast any cause for concern at this time?

In a related report by the Inquisitr, three simultaneous hurricanes inside the Pacific Ocean set a new record during the 2015 hurricane season.

According to the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm Grace will maintain its status as a tropical storm all the way through Thursday, September 10. The current maximum sustained winds are 50 miles per hour, and it is current moving in a westward direction at 15 miles per hour. By Thursday, all of the computer models agree that Tropical Storm Grace is expected to reach the Leeward Islands.

Presuming this hurricane forecast holds true, Tropical Storm Grace is expected to lose power and become a tropical depression again. But these tropical cyclone forecasts can be in error. But the questions remains if Tropical Storm Grace will transform into Hurricane Grace as it approaches the Caribbean islands.

Tropical Storm Grace Path Sept 6 Tropical Storm Grace as of September 6, 2015 [Image via NOAA]Brian McNoldy of the University of Miami’s Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science points out that Tropical Storm Grace “will be slamming into a wall of strong vertical wind shear on Wednesday, which should quickly put an end to any intensification that may occur in the meantime. Models are currently in unanimous agreement on this.” NOAA agrees with this assessment, noting that the next few days will see little change in strength, but then we will see “gradual weakening thereafter.”

But Tropical Storm Grace is not alone in the Atlantic. McNoldy points out that Tropical Storm Fred is still surviving, if barely.

“On Saturday afternoon, Fred was downgraded to a Depression, again. As of Sunday morning, it remains a Depression, but is forecast to regain tropical storm status by Tuesday as it moves toward a more favorable environment. It has been a tropical cyclone for almost 8 days, and apparently, the normal environmental thresholds for TC maintenance don’t apply to Fred, so it could be around for quite a while longer! It has begun recurving to the north, and is forecast to head toward the northeast over the next 5 days.”

Presuming these 2015 hurricane season forecasts are accurate, Tropical Storm Fred should not threaten the United States, and Tropical Storm Grace remains a storm to watch out for in the coming weeks.

[Image via Wikimedia Commons]