Online Test Predicts Chance Of Death Within Five Years

The website Ubble has developed a test which is designed to determine the chance of death within the next five years. The test was designed by Swedish researchers Andrea Ganna and Erik Ingelsson who developed the test based on a U.K. Biobank study of 500,000 people.

Ganna had this to say about the research.

“This is a [program of] voluntary participants who decided to be part of the study. They got a lot of information collected from the participant. We have questions and physical examination like blood pressure, body mass index and a blood essay.

“What we did is we took all these measures and tried to study how each of these measurements was predicative of five-year mortality and this is clearly kind of a new approach.”

The test checks for 655 variables, including demographics, health, and lifestyle, to determine the strongest mortality predictors, similar to tests which determine disease. According to Ubble, this is gathered in the test with 13 questions for men and eleven for women.

“In this study, U.K. Biobank participants were monitored until February 2014. For those who had died, information from the Health and Social Care Information Center and NHS Central Register was used to determine the cause of death.

“The researchers used this information and the 655 U.K. Biobank measurements to see how closely each was associated with death within five years.”

The test asks if they smoke, had cancer, heart disease or diabetes, how many people they live with, and how many cars they own. The test also asks whether their walking pace is brisk, slow, or if they even walk at all.

“Overall, walking pace was a stronger predictor [of death] than smoking habits and other lifestyle measurements. In fact, men aged 40-52 who reported their usual walking pace as ‘slow’ had a 3.7 times increased risk of death within five years than those who answered ‘steady average pace.’

“One of the other questions is the number of cars that you own… That’s a typical tag for a social economic status, the more cars you own, probably the more wealthy you are and lower is your risk of dying. It doesn’t mean if you go out and buy another car, your risk will decrease. So these are just correlations – a good predictor. To decrease your risk you stick with the traditional advice; stop to smoke, eat healthy and do physical exercise.”

The test was designed for people between the ages of 40 and 70-years-old. The end of the test shows the estimated chance of death for a participant. The test, according to Ubble, is not meant to substitute as medical expertise or service and that medical professionals should be sought to answer questions an individual has about his or her health.

[Photo credit: Christopher Furlong/ Getty Images News]