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Tropical Storm Simon Likely To Become Hurricane

Up until now, there have been 17 named storms during the 2014 eastern Pacific hurricane season off the coast of Mexico. Tropical Storm Simon has become the 18th.

The tropical storm should track toward the west-northwest during the next few days. The center of the storm should remain just off the Mexican Pacific coast.

The projected path is shown below, using the latest information from the National Hurricane Center.

Projected Path

Simon is currently showing low wind shear, moist air, and warm sea-surface temperatures. The circumstances of the tropical storm lend support to the possibility that it may become a hurricane sometime Friday or early Saturday.

Tropical Storm Simon will be producing heavy rain in the areas closest to its location through Friday and possibly through the weekend. Flash flooding and mudslides could prove to be a problem in western Guerroro, Michoacan, western Jalisco, and Nayarit. Coastal areas are also in danger of high surf and dangerous rip currents.

Below you will see some information about Simon. The map includes latitude/longitude coordinates, distance away from land, maximum sustained winds, and central pressure.

Storm Information

Early Friday, the tropical storm’s maximum sustained winds were nearly 50 mph and on the rise.

“The shower and thunderstorm activity will increase around Cabo San Lucas Friday night through Saturday with locally heavy rain a threat,” stated AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Rob Miller. “Wind damage will depend on how much strength Simon has at the time of landfall. Based on the current forecast track, I would expect Simon to produce localized tree limb damage and power outages.”

Experts believe that Baja Peninsula should not consider Tropical Storm Simon to be a major threat just yet, but also urge locals to keep an eye out for weather advisories.

However, the storm doesn’t seem to be on a path that would extend its existence. Should Simon continue tracking north or northeast, it will travel over cooler waters. The situation will encourage increased wind shear and cause the storm, or hurricane, to weaken considerably.

An infrared satellite image of the storm shows how cold/high the cloud tops are. Red and orange shades indicate a tropical cyclone.

Infrared Satellite

The Eastern Pacific has seen more than its fair share of bad weather during this hurricane season. The season begins May 15 and ends November 30. The average amount of hurricanes experienced by the area during a season is 15. That means that the area is well above average for this year.

[Images courtesy of Weather Underground and Weather.com]