Even as the world reels from the terrorism in its numerous corners, the threat of a deadly virus is becoming ever so imminent. However, an as-of-yet unreleased report is about to indicate a far worse outlook about the Ebola virus, which was already considered deadly, but still largely containable.
According to an estimate under development by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or CDC, the Ebola outbreak in West Africa could spread to hundreds of thousands more people by the end of this year. According to the report, as many as 550,000 people could be infected by the end of January.
The report is scheduled to be tabled next week, and hence it cannot be discussed at length, claimed two people familiar with its contents. The alarming projection, which massively outstrips any previous estimates, is currently under intense review by researchers, and the end version could change slightly, reported the Washington Post.
At the most, it assumes no additional aid or intervention by governments and relief agencies, which are earnestly mobilizing to contain the Ebola outbreak before it spirals further out of control in Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea. The CDC is also developing a dynamic tool that will allow countries to re-estimate the projections as the reports come in.
Speaking about the same, Barbara Reynolds, a spokeswoman for the agency, said, “CDC is working on a dynamic modeling tool that allows for recalculations of projected Ebola cases over time. CDC expects to release this interactive tool and a description of its use soon.”
The world, especially African countries, drastically need this tool to get a clearer picture about the ravaging effects of Ebola outbreak. The WHO predicted last month that about 20,000 Ebola cases might be identified, but in merely three weeks since then, the numbers have more than doubled, leaving the projections model obsolete, reported RT.
WHO spokesman Dan Epstein expressed his concern that the Ebola cases might be growing at a rate of 5,000 or more per week.
Tim Shenk, a spokesman for the humanitarian group Doctors Without Borders, said, “It’s already the worst outbreak in history.”
He is quite clear in his opinion that the containment of the Ebola outbreak now depends on what steps America takes. Fortunately, America had already sent a huge C-17 plane, with two more are on their way, which are said to contain trained medical personnel. Moreover, the U.S is planning to deploy 3,000 U.S military personnel to assist with shipping and distributing medical supplies and building treatment centers.
At its core, it has become very tricky to understand the Ebola transmission dynamics. However, a lot now rests on how other countries are responding to Africa’s uphill battle with the deadly Ebola virus.
[Image Credit | Cellou Binani/AFP via Getty Images, WHO]