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Final Election Polls: Obama Chance Of Victory Now Over 90 Percent

Final Election Polls: Obama Chance Of Victory Now Over 90 Percent

Final election polls paint a bleak picture for Mitt Romney — the modest leads he once held in nationwide presidential polls have dissipated as President Barack Obama has seized strong control of both the national vote and electoral map.

Obama made gains in many of the final election polls, including the Gallup poll. Mitt Romney once saw his largest lead of the election from this poll — a seven-point advantage just weeks before the election — but Obama closed the gap and in the final Gallup poll sat just one point behind, within the poll’s margin of error.

With the recent gains being shown in the final presidential polls, FiveThirtEight’s Nate Silver sees little chance of victory for Mitt Romney:

“Mitt Romney has always had difficulty drawing a winning Electoral College hand. Even during his best period of polling, in the week or two after the first presidential debate in Denver, he never quite pulled ahead in the polling averages in Ohio and other states that would allow him to secure 270 electoral votes.

“But the most recent set of polls suggest another problem for Mr. Romney, whose momentum in the polls stalled out in mid-October. Instead, it is President Obama who is making gains.”

Obama led by an average of 1.6 points in the 12 final presidential polls released Monday. That figure represents a gain of 1.5 percentage points from the previous version of those same polls, showing Obama gaining ground leading into Election Day.

Silver’s projection gave Obama a 92 percent chance of victory on Election Day morning.

Some national outlets are predicting a close raced based on final election polls, however. The National Journal noted that presidential polls from this weekend show Obama and Romney in a tight race nationwide, but Obama with the most realistic path to victory:

“President Obama and Mitt Romney are neck-and-neck in national polls released on the final weekend before Election Day, but Obama’s Midwestern “firewall” of Iowa, Ohio and Wisconsin is holding and he maintains a distinct advantage in the contest for the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House.

“The disparity between the national and state surveys presents two potential scenarios for Tuesday night: The two will converge, with Obama edging up in the national popular vote or Romney surging in battleground states, or Obama could become the second candidate in the last four elections to win the Electoral College and the presidency while capturing fewer votes than his opponent.”

As pundits have noted, the only final presidential polls that matter now are those counted on Election Night.

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Comments

44 Responses to “Final Election Polls: Obama Chance Of Victory Now Over 90 Percent”

  1. Jonathan B. Maple

    This stellar polling is of course excellent news for the President, but also important to note that there are startling reports of voter machine tampering across the US and we must be aware of this, particularly since Tagg Romney owns a large number of machines in Ohio. Further, there are reports of Pennsylvania residents voting for the President while the computer screen registers their vote as for Mr. Romney. Keep aware, stay safe, protect yourselves and each other! Because if this is the way the Romney Campaign plans to swing this election they are not only going to be defeated but they will completely destroy the GOP in the process. There is no way that the Republican Party will have any credibility left once this is all brought to light. And with this being the most highly anticipated election in recent history, with cameras, media, lawyers, researchers, technology/polling experts, on-site, literally, everywhere, there is simply no way that they will not be caught. If true, the Romney Campaign and the Republican Party has made yet another huge mistake, reckless and politically fatal.

  2. Timothy Schultz

    So opinions of political pundits are better than a statistician's numbers?

  3. Anonymous

    Barack Obama is driven in his political life by the idea of getting "revenge" against the United States for the slights and hurts he has felt, according to a forensic profiler who also has worked on the Natalie Holloway and O.J. Simpson cases.

    "When Obama supporters booed the mention of [Mitt] Romney at a Springfield, Ohio, political rally on November 2, 2012, Obama commented 'No, no, no. Don't boo. Vote.' He added, 'Voting is the best revenge.' Think if Obama had just stopped at 'don't boo – vote.' That would have been a presidential response. Instead, once more he had to introduce extreme bitterness," Andrew G. Hodges, M.D.,

  4. Anonymous

    Four more years of Obama will only prove once again that America will never learn its political lessons. God help us all.

  5. Dara Bailey Millwood

    I think you are the racist, by the way, do you even know what the word means?

  6. Jonathan B. Maple

    MAYBE IF I MAKE A FAKE PROFILE WITH NO PICTURE, TAKE ONE QUOTE OUT OF CONTEXT, AND COMPLETELY MAKE UP A "CRITIQUE" FROM A "DOCTOR" PEOPLE WILL TAKE ME SERIOUSLY. Nope, sir. You're not helping anyone. You're embarrassing yourself and we need you to go home. Thanks.

  7. Theresa Atwell

    Johathan so sorry but that is a false rumor about Tag owning the machines. You may want to fact check things before you put it out in the web.

  8. Jonathan B. Maple

    Theresa Atwell: No apology needed. Whether his ownership is direct or indirect, meaning personal or through one of his business ventures, there are a number of investigations into it, almost all of which are still ongoing. As per "things being put on the web", I suggest you Google it. You will find plenty, including this:

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/rickungar/2012/10/20/romney-family-investment-ties-to-voting-machine-company-that-could-decide-the-election-causes-concern/

    Warm Regards, and don't forget to vote today, if you haven't already!

  9. Anonymous

    Were all 6 of the people who call themselves black panthers there?
    Come back, come back, the 60's are over.

  10. Anonymous

    FROM SPAIN-DESDE ESPAÑA: VOTE OBAMA FOR ME- OBAMA ARE PROGRESS AND PEACE FOR ALL THE WORLD. Hispanos de FLORIDA, la elección correcta es Obama porque America es ahora un país mucho más admirado y respetado en el Mundo que en la época de Bush. Las politicas de los republicanos en Europa han traído retroceso de derechos laborales y desempleo. Obama cree en el progreso y en los derechos de los trabajadores. Votar por nosotros, votar Obama. SUERTE Y ADELANTE. Forward- YES WE CAN.

  11. Anonymous

    FROM SPAIN-DESDE ESPAÑA: VOTE OBAMA FOR ME- OBAMA ARE PROGRESS AND PEACE FOR ALL THE WORLD. Hispanos de FLORIDA, la elección correcta es Obama porque America es ahora un país mucho más admirado y respetado en el Mundo que en la época de Bush. Las politicas de los republicanos en Europa han traído retroceso de derechos laborales y desempleo. Obama cree en el progreso y en los derechos de los trabajadores. Votar por nosotros, votar Obama. SUERTE Y ADELANTE. Forward- YES WE CAN.

  12. Jonathan B. Maple

    Theresa Atwell: LOL. Okay, Theresa, since you feel so passionately about what you believe to be "biased" sources, I will humor you, and, use your source: the "definitive Internet resource for urban legends and folklore". Because, I will prove to you, whether you admit it or not, that this situation is not definitively settled, nor will it be, until these investigations are complete. What I'd first and foremost like to point out to you is the fact that ownership, of just about anything, including voting machines, can be personal or through a company and/or business. The evidence here points to the latter. The second thing is that I fear you did not read your urban legend/folklore article clearly. The third is that I did. I'd like you to pay careful attention to the paragraph that begins with this and that can be found near the bottom of the article:

    "It is true that H.I.G. Capital's co-founder Anthony Tamer and his wife are donors to the Romney campaign; and that H.I.G. Capital is the sixth largest financial contributor to Romney Fundraising Committees, and, it is true that Tagg Romney's firm, Solamere, has investments in other H.I.G. funds that are run by partners who are former Romney colleagues and current fundraisers…"

    Yes, your resource voted "False" that he has personal ownership. That would be easy to identify. What is alarming about you Theresa is that you are transparent. I can see that you must be a Romney supporter. Which is fine. In fact, I hope you voted and I am happy you did. What is sad, however, is that you are one of those ferociously aggressive people so adamant in what you "think" is support, that whenever you are confronted with a negative towards someone you "admire"… you attack, and, often without the proper evidence or necessary intelligence to do so effectively. And this, really, helps no one. Had you read your urban legend/folklore article fully you would have seen this pointed out clearly: There are some sketchy things going on and they are being investigated. Had you read the Forbes article I referenced above you would have seen the same thing. In fact, had you paid careful attention to just about anything a little bit further at any point in this entire exchange you may have realized that what I have been trying to say this entire time is that we all, as citizens, need to be aware of any conflicts of interest when it comes to voting because it sucks for everyone. Voter fraud is serious. It is an insult to America and needs to be taken seriously. If there is one thing that we can all agree on it will be that. I will not be discussing this any further.

  13. Theresa Atwell

    Yes Jonathan I am a Romney supporter. I truly can't see how anyone could not be worried about where this country is headed under Obama. But I guess we can't discuss this any further since you quit!

  14. Anonymous

    I have heard the exact same thing about people voting for romney but the machines registering an obama vote. seems both sides are crooked as a country road

  15. Jonathan B. Maple

    Your name is also "crzymdgt44" and you have no profile photo so… everything with a grain of salt, you know?

  16. Theresa Atwell

    Jonathan I have finished my work day and now have to drive 1 1/2 hours to get home so I have to leave. I have truly enjoyed debating with you with absolutely no hard feelings. I really can't tell if you are really a nice guy or just incredibly sarcastic. Either way it has been fun. May be the best man win and may he be Romney!!!

  17. Eddie Garner

    that whole concept is total non sense . you make yourself look dumber than a coal bucket spouting off such garble…that's the problem our country is dealing with . Too many people being brainwashed like sheep into saying a bunch of false facts and then swearing to themm. wake up america..

  18. Jonathan B. Maple

    Theresa, I completely agree, but unfortunately the President is better! ;-) Drive safe!!

  19. Anonymous

    There are not enough Fox "News" addicted billionaires, bigots and Goobers to elect Romney. Thank God- but not the homophobic, narrow-minded angry diety of the religious right. Invest three minutes and enjoy the terrific anthem/video "Dumb Like a Fox" by the Crow Knees about the right wing lie machine. Here's a link: http://youtu.be/_lUTCCCCmOg.

  20. Fran Perry

    Theresa Atwell…and to Johnathan Maple…first Theresa…you should keep your mouth shut..if you have not done your homework…but, again..I see Jonathan Maple telling you no apology is needed….it is still the fact as usual the Romney family are the most deceptive people in the world..starting from the parents on down..and yes there are still investigations going on in all areas of Ann and Mitt Romney's wrong doings period…on how they have gotten to be so rich..and how they have swindled monies..but, the bold fact of the truth is here..so, read

    Romney Family Investment Ties To Voting Machine Company That Could Decide The Election Causing Concern
    Numerous media sources, including Truthout, are reporting that Solamere Capital—the investment firm run by Mitt Romney’s son, Tagg, and the home of money put into the closely held firm by Tagg’s uncle Scott, mother Anne and, of course, the dad who might just be the next President of the United States—depending upon how the vote count turns out, in our little tale, in the State of Ohio—have shared business interests with H.I.G. either directly or via Solamere Advisors which is owned, in part, by Solamere Capital, including a reported investment in H.I.G. by either Solamere Capital or Solamere Advisors.

  21. Thaniarosemaryaj Natejoy

    tumigil na kayo, mananalo Pres. Barack Obama. Magaling, matalino at may puso para sa mga mahihirap. Sa palagay niyo ba ang kayaman ni Rommey ay bahahgian ang mga middle class, no no no. Take note, silikap ni Obama na bumangon ang America galing sa pagkalugmok sa Administrayong Bush. halos buong mundo bagsak ang ekonomiya bago ma Presidente si Obama, sa palagay niyo kaya, kung maksarili lang si Obama, babangon ba ang America nang ganito? na kahit papaamo ay nakakaahon ang America. Maraming ginawa at sana ipapatupad si President Obama, pero sobrang bagal pagdating sa Congress dahil ang mojority leader ang Rep. kaya dapat paalisin ang mga makasarili sa posisyon para uusad ang America.

  22. Fran Perry

    Dear Jonathan, I bet you voted for Bush in the last election…and I am just going to fill you in on a few things…you are talking about "CRITIQUES"…well, here goes…first of all Bush does not believe in Jesus Christ..and you can do your homework and look that one up…but, when Laura Bush, was a librarian for a year..she wrote a paper..that she titled.."The Critique Of Laura Bush"…her case that she built up against the Bible with 29 sub-titles..true enough…I guess you all have "spiritual blindness" and just don't want to see the truth about people even when it hits you in the face…you all have blind spots where you refuse to look at..for the truth to be revealed…and by the way…you racist on here…God does not see color..and Obama, one of the finest people humanitarian person…that has been revealed when Hillary was running against him to be President…she incurred such a debt…that Obama, now remember she is white..not black..he told her to come along with him on the conventions to raise monies to pay off the debt that she incurred..he didn't need to do that..but, you know what that shows me what kind of heart he has..and it is not filled with being a racist as most of you here are..and he asks her to be Secretary Of State…and mind you, they had shared some pretty harsh words against each other when they ran against each other…but, the most uneducated people that are not filled with the "Holy Spirit" are always going to see color and being prejudiced as most of you are that are commenting..here..please tell me what churches you are going to…and I will be sure to stay out of it…Obama has that heart…that I look for in friends of mine that I allow to get close to me..not ignorant people that can still bring the subject matter up about him seeing color or being a racist…you have "spiritual blindness" and you need to get born again…just maybe Jesus will wash that junk off of you..and remember everything starts within the mind…so, if you don't stop that "stinking thinking" you are adding to your "bad karma" as the kids in the neighborhood where I live in. have told to me..so, just maybe…you all need to look in the mirror and asks yourself.."mirror, mirror on the wall who is the greates of us all"…you self-righteous people make me sick to my stomach…so, that is why that God has put, a "ram in the bush" like Bill Clinton to help him…becausee he had helped Hillary out…think about that..there is a saying..what whatever you sow so shall you reap…that means "bad seeds" or "good seed"…and he has reaped what he has sown..so, again..Jonathan…Obama isn't "fake" as you say he is..and the only person that I remember wrote a "Critique" was Laura Bush…so, stick to the facts..

  23. Kyle Haley

    Look into the Mormon religon a little bit. They have an edict that deals with revenge against the US for treatment of their founders. I'm no conspiracy guy but the fact its there is never mentioned.

  24. Jonathan B. Maple

    Fran Perry: You are misguided, misinformed and I believe you may have been drinking. I was not old enough to vote in the election you mention but I certainly would not have voted for Bush. I am a strong supporter of the Democratic party. Perhaps you could have noticed this by my solid blue profile picture or the fact that it says "FORWARD", President Obama's official campaign slogan. Clearly, you have misinterpreted my comment above regarding "genkorr"'s statement. Many Republicans have been making a rather large deal because the President responded, when hearing crowds "boo" upon hearing Mr. Romney's name, by saying that they should, instead of "booing", vote, because, that itself is real and "productive" revenge. They turned this into a bigger deal then what it really was (an off the cuff, one-time, statement) and now claim that his "entire political career" is built on "revenge" which is simply untrue. The comment made by "genkorr" above attempted to feed this Republican narrative by also quoting a "doctor" who "assessed" the President's "psychological condition", none of which actually happened and is a complete and utter lie. So, my comment was merely pointing out the fact that "genkorr" is clearly a Republican, using a fake account, attempting to proliferate this ridiculous narrative by making up a fake quote all in hopes that the public might begin to think of the President as a crazy, vengeful, angry man. Which, obviously, could not be farther from the truth. I hope you voted today! Warm Regards.

  25. Jonathan B. Maple

    Taylor Turney, you are an embarrassment and an absolute stereotype. Way to go, bro.

  26. Dara Bailey Millwood

    You can't spell down there either….grow up, and find a real purpose for your life.

  27. Dara Bailey Millwood

    Many….It's called volunteering, might have to look that one up.

  28. Theresa Atwell

    Fran people like you scare me. I wll not keep my mouth shut because I have a right to my opion no matter how much you don't agree. Liberal sources are going to have liberal views. You don't see me quoting Fox news here. You should try to let go of some of that anger!

  29. Craig Kevin Sweeney

    Gawd….prejudice is alive and well in America. I have NEVER seen such trash talk during an election, people! We have a black man running against a Mormon, and this has never happened in our history of a country. Most of you people are truly showing your ignorance, prejudice, and hatefulness; I almost didn't post anything since I find these comments offensive and inane. I will leave you with this. Most of my family members, excluding me, are right-wing Christians. In the 60s my elder relatives refused to vote for JFK because he was a Catholic. (How ridiculous!) Unfortunately, I was raised in a strict S. Baptist family where we were taught that most religions, other than some Christians, were a cult. NOW, however, the same people, plus younger family members, are sticking with the GOP and voting for a man who is from a cult (Mormon), yet they are more focused on his party than the man himself. I call those people hypocrites AND, furthermore, heretics! Religion flew south with my relatives once Romney was nominated to represent the Republican party. I am astonished and ashamed by the hypocritical b.s. in this election. Nothing would surprise me at this point in time. The lies just continue to spew out of the mouths of many Americans. God, protect me from your followers!