An election model put out by the Battleground Poll projects that former Massachusetts Governor and businessman Mitt Romney will defeat President Barack Obama by a margin of 52 to 47 percent. The bipartisan poll, which is affiliated with Politico and George Washington University, also claims that Gov. Romney currently leads among voters defined as middle class by 52 to 45 percent.
In reporting on the Battleground Poll, The Weekly Standard provides some further good news for the GOP about Mitt Romney’s possible downticket coattails: “Should Romney win by 5 percentage points, it would increase Republican chances of gaining control of the Senate.” It is generally undisputed that the Republicans will retain control of the House of Representatives after the votes of the November 6 general election are counted.
Separately, Rasmussen Reports, one of the most accurate pollsters, indicates that Romney as of today has a two-point advantage in the important swing state of Ohio, which conveys 18 electoral votes, by 50 percent to 48 percent, the first time he has overtaken the president in the Rasmussen Ohio survey.
In its daily swing-state tracking poll, Rasmussen has Mitt Romney at 50 percent to Barack Obama at 46 percent. Eleven states are considered so-called swing states (i.e., they could go for either candidate) and collectively account for 146 electoral votes: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin. According to Rasmussen, “Romney has now led for 12 straight days with margins of four to six points most of that time.”
Do you think that the election momentum is with the Romney/Ryan ticket?