Obama Leads In Ipsos Poll, Falls Behind In Gallup Polling
Need more proof that Presidential polls jump all over the place? President Obama is currently leading in some polls and losing to GOP contender Mitt Romney in others.
According to the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll President Obama has taken a 49 percent to 46 percent lead over Mitt Romney, a one percent increase from Saturday’s polling numbers.
While Obama is ahead in that poll Rasmussen Reports’ daily poll shows Romney edging out President Obama with a 50% to 47% lead. The Rasmussen Reports poll also shows unaffiliated voters giving Romney an 11 point lead.
But wait there’s more! Obama is once again leading Mitt Romney 48 percent to 47 percent among registered voters via Gallup polling. However, when Romney is examined on a “seven-day rolling average” he is winning 50 percent to 46 percent.
In his Five Thirty-Eight blog Nate Silver hands President Obama a 2 point win in Ohio after examining several state polls. Silver also predicts an Obama win in Minnesota with a 6.8 percent lead. If Silver’s numbers are correct Obama could also win Virginia although that likelihood he believes is only 59.8 percent.
The real question will be whether Obama or Romney manage to pull off wins in the all important swing states. Several polls show President Obama with an average win of two points in Ohio. Romney in the meantime is building a grassroots campaign in Wisconsin which now favors President Obama by only 2.3 percent. A Republican has not won Wisconsin since Ronald Reagan won the presidency.
Iowa is also too close to call with Obama maintaining a 2.4% lead. Romney is focusing much of his efforts on Iowa with big ad spends.
In all three Midwest battleground states Obama current maintains a three percent average advantage.