Republican nominee for president of the United States Donald Trump continues to trail Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project results that were released on Saturday afternoon. While Trump has not lost ground in the past week, there has been very little movement, which is bad news for a candidate that needs a surge in support.
The Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project is different than the national general support poll. The poll is done online and takes replies from 15,000 people per week. In order to get more accurate results, it also analyzes voting patterns under various election scenarios. Instead of simply measuring support, it attempts to predict which candidate will win in the Electoral College.
“Clinton leads Donald Trump in most of the states that Trump would need should he have a chance to win the minimum 270 votes needed to win. According to the project, she has a better than 95 percent chance of winning, if the election was held this week. The mostly likely outcome would be 326 votes for Clinton to 212 for Trump. Trump came off his best debate performance of the campaign Wednesday evening but the polling consensus still showed Clinton winning the third and final face-off on prime-time TV. Trump disputes those findings.”
With the election a little over two weeks away, Trump is in serious trouble. Despite a solid third debate last week, many outlets still viewed Clinton as the winner. For most of the debate, Trump was more calm and stoic than he had been, but he unraveled towards the end. Whether or not his strong performance in the early parts of the debate swayed some undecided voters remains to be seen, but it does not appear as though it was enough.
Trump vowing to sue 'every one' of his female accusers: https://t.co/FFCdR1UYUO
— AP Politics (@AP_Politics) October 22, 2016
A lot has changed with the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project results over the past month. As the Inquisitr reported on September 17, Clinton had a 60 percent chance of winning the election by 18 electoral votes. In late August, Clinton had a 95 percent chance of winning the election by 108 votes in the Electoral College.
In other words, Clinton has held big leads over Trump in the past. Facing double-digit deficits in support polls over the summer, many believed Trump was finished in June. After Clinton’s email scandal and a strong performance at the Republican National Convention, Trump started to gain ground. While he has trailed for much of the past few months, he has kept things considerably close.
Trump was able to cut Clinton’s predicted victory in the Electoral College from 95 percent to 60 percent in only a few weeks, but it may be difficult to pull off a similar feat at this point. The three debates are over, and the American public has likely formed strong opinions regarding both candidates. While Clinton has faults of her own, which the mainstream media often overlooks, Trump continues to create self-inflicted wounds.
— Reuters Top News (@Reuters) October 22, 2016
In addition to concerning comments regarding minorities and Islam over the past year, Trump’s latest accusations of sexual assault are just another example of his questionable judgment. Whether or not all of the claims are true is up for debate, but Trump has consistently put himself in bad situations in the past. He referred to the 2005 video as “locker-room” talk, but many of his comments are extremely offensive to a large number of people, which is not the way to gain support.
In a separate Reuters/Ipsos poll showing general support, Clinton leads Trump 44 percent to 40 percent. This poll was conducted from Oct. 14-20. The Oct. 7-13 version showed Clinton leading Trump 44 percent to 37 percent, so he has actually gained support over the past week in this particular poll.
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