Mitt Romney Will Be The Next President, Says New Study

Ken Bickers from Colorado University Boulder and Michael Berry from CU-Denver, have correctly guessed the results of every presidential election since 1980. This year, the two political scientists predict that Mitt Romney will be voted into office over Barack Obama.
Bickers and Berry created an Electoral College forecast to predict the winner of the 2012 Presidential Election.
Bickers said:
“Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble.”
According to the model, Romney is expected to take home 320 electoral votes compared to Obama’s 218. The model focuses mainly on the electoral votes, but it also factors in the popular vote. Berry believes that Romney will win 52 percent of the popular vote and will be our next president.
Berry said:
“For the last eight presidential elections, this model has correctly predicted the winner… The economy has seen some improvement since President Obama took office. What remains to be seen is whether voters will consider the economy in relative or absolute terms. If it’s the former, the president may receive credit for the economy’s trajectory and win a second term. In the latter case, Romney should pick up a number of states Obama won in 2008.”
Berry and Bickers used state and national unemployment rates and per capita income, which measures disposable income, to develop their prediction model.
The two political scientists believe that presidential elections have less to do with gaffes and political commercial and more to do with the economic environment. And, since they’ve correctly picked the president since 1980, they may be on to something.
Bickers said:
”(Our prediction model) suggest that presidential elections are about big things and the stewardship of the national economy… It’s not about gaffes, political commercials or day-to-day campaign tactics. I find that heartening for our democracy.”
Do you think President Obama will win a second term? Or will Mitt Romney be the next President of the United States?













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Aug 23, 2012
God I hope they are right!
Aug 23, 2012
God I hope they are right!
Aug 23, 2012
They also predicted that McCain would win too.
Aug 23, 2012
did you somehow miss "Ken Bickers from Colorado University Boulder and Michael Berry from CU-Denver, have correctly guessed the results of every presidential election since 1980." they clearly did not pick McCain.
Aug 23, 2012
odd who want him to win.
Aug 23, 2012
Excuse me but I live in Colorado and I remember that they predicted a win for McCain….doesn't matter what they say now, they are all liars now anyway
Aug 23, 2012
Hope they are right, if we ever needed a fair and honest man as President of the Untied States it is NOW! I'll bet Romney even knows how many states are in the USA..He may even want to get the economy going and help build America.That's a change we could all believe in!
Aug 23, 2012
It's BS according to Nate Silver with 538. U of Colorado is touting a 30 year success rate — but their methodology this year has never been used before. The new model has never predicted anything.
This is a lame piece of reporting.
Aug 24, 2012
BULLSHIT! NOT ANYWAY IN HELL WILL "ROMNEY FOR THE RICH" BE PRESIDENT.
Aug 25, 2012
Well, records are made to be broken. If I remember history there is a picture of Harry Truman after winning his own election (he took over after FDR died) holding a paper that had gone to press early and the headline read DEWING WINS IN LINESLIDE. So, I wouldn't hold my breath.
Aug 25, 2012
And women will be back fighting for women's rights if they win. How can a woman support the republican anti pro chose platform?
Aug 25, 2012
better fix that for the woman above, it is anti pro choice. Not anti abotion…..anti pro choice. Democrats do not necessarily think abortions the way to go but it is the law of the land and women had to fight to get it passed. You are not old enough to know of the Nixon years.
Aug 25, 2012
I don't know exactly the year Roe vs Wade went into effect. Maybe I need to go read history. It's enough I lived though all the "I am not a crook" years.
Aug 31, 2012
The LAST thing we need is obama getting reelected! Its time a guy who's a man of his word takes control of America and picks the country up from its knees! We need a bit more REAL presidents nowdays and less clueless men (Obama) posing for the camera in DC! If obama wants my vote, HE'D BETTER EARN IT!
Sep 6, 2012
I prat everyday! ANYBODY but Obama!
Oct 1, 2012
These are the two that said Bill Clinton would lose his re-election bid to Bob Dole. These two characters will make several different predictions each election year and usually make picks that will include candidates from both sides. They are laughed at in political circles.
Oct 7, 2012
God loves us all. However dems wanted to remove God from their platform. Romney has it. Pray for our country!
Oct 17, 2012
We better find out what the 5 point plan entails. He has tapped around it without giving us an answer.
Oct 18, 2012
Navy Seal Leaks.
This is essential for anyone who wants to understand why all the.
Muslims are rioting and why Obama wants to blame a You Tube video.
It's roughly 22 minutes, regardless of your "Party" choice.
*This is about our National Security!**.
**Subject: *Navy SEAL leaks (video).
*The single most damning video against Barack Obama you will.
ever see. This video, made by the U.S. Navy Seals, will.
hopefully cost Obama his second term in office_. Its just
incredible how effective this video is in convincing TRUE.
Americans that Obama is a clear and very serious traitor to.
this country. History will judge him negatively for his terrible.
treasonous acts. Just an incredibly powerful video! Senior CIA,
FBI, Military and many other U.S. government intelligence
officials describe for the viewer how Obama has compromised U.S.
national secrets and the very serious consequence of those.
actions. And what's worse, _he did it all for political gain.
Video Link:
http://www.youtube.com/v/X-Xfti7qtT0?version=3&hl=en_US&rel=0
Oct 18, 2012
http://youtu.be/dBf1ZxgEpx8
Why has the Obama administration appointed a Islamist radical to represent the US Government at a human rights conference in Warsaw – a man who called "attacks by Hezbollah against Israel 'legitimate resistance'"?
Oct 20, 2012
How old is this? Obama is way ahead of Romney today.
Oct 20, 2012
http://www.romneytaxplan.com/
Oct 20, 2012
You're a idiot. He's in the lead more than ever.
Oct 22, 2012
OK let's blame him for that, now should we blame 9/11 on Bush and the Republicans ?
Oct 27, 2012
check your facts, l you are wrong. They predicted Obama.
Oct 30, 2012
I have a friend who was born Mormon and he has some really scary horror stories. Mormon's feel women are second class citizens which is why Romney did not know of any qualified women to hire, hence the wonderful "binders full of women" comment. Mormon's also feel gays are mentally ill, which is why poor Marie Osmond's son committed suicide. President Obama stands for equality and Romney only stands for the elite.
Oct 30, 2012
Never happen, just wait and see…
Oct 30, 2012
I have a friend who was born Mormon and he has some really scary horror stories. Mormon's feel women are second class citizens which is why Romney did not know of any qualified women to hire, hence the wonderful "binders full of women" comment. Mormon's also feel gays are mentally ill, which is why poor Marie Osmond's son committed suicide. President Obama stands for equality and Romney only stands for the elite
Oct 30, 2012
I have a friend who was born Mormon and he has some really scary horror stories. Mormon's feel women are second class citizens which is why Romney did not know of any qualified women to hire, hence the wonderful "binders full of women" comment. Mormon's also feel gays are mentally ill, which is why poor Marie Osmond's son committed suicide. President Obama stands for equality and Romney only stands for the elite
Oct 30, 2012
Ashleigh Miller I have a friend who was born Mormon and he has some really scary horror stories. Mormon's feel women are second class citizens which is why Romney did not know of any qualified women to hire, hence the wonderful "binders full of women" comment. Mormon's also feel gays are mentally ill, which is why poor Marie Osmond's son committed suicide. President Obama stands for equality and Romney only stands for the elite
Oct 30, 2012
Jessica G-h I have a friend who was born Mormon and he has some really scary horror stories. Mormon's feel women are second class citizens which is why Romney did not know of any qualified women to hire, hence the wonderful "binders full of women" comment. Mormon's also feel gays are mentally ill, which is why poor Marie Osmond's son committed suicide. President Obama stands for equality and Romney only stands for the elite
Oct 30, 2012
I have a friend who was born Mormon and he has some really scary horror stories. Mormon's feel women are second class citizens which is why Romney did not know of any qualified women to hire, hence the wonderful "binders full of women" comment. Mormon's also feel gays are mentally ill, which is why poor Marie Osmond's son committed suicide. President Obama stands for equality and Romney only stands for the elite
Oct 30, 2012
Romney has no plan and he will not win – just watch and see. Americans are too smart to elect such a man.
Oct 30, 2012
Lisa Walton Naranjo I have a friend who was born Mormon and he has some really scary horror stories. Mormon's feel women are second class citizens which is why Romney did not know of any qualified women to hire, hence the wonderful "binders full of women" comment. Mormon's also feel gays are mentally ill, which is why poor Marie Osmond's son committed suicide. President Obama stands for equality and Romney only stands for the elite
Oct 30, 2012
I have a friend who was born Mormon and he has some really scary horror stories. Mormon's feel women are second class citizens which is why Romney did not know of any qualified women to hire, hence the wonderful "binders full of women" comment. Mormon's also feel gays are mentally ill, which is why poor Marie Osmond's son committed suicide. President Obama stands for equality and Romney only stands for the elite
Oct 30, 2012
I have a friend who was born Mormon and he has some really scary horror stories. Mormon's feel women are second class citizens which is why Romney did not know of any qualified women to hire, hence the wonderful "binders full of women" comment. Mormon's also feel gays are mentally ill, which is why poor Marie Osmond's son committed suicide. President Obama stands for equality and Romney only stands for the elite
Oct 30, 2012
Billy Myers I have a friend who was born Mormon and he has some really scary horror stories. Mormon's feel women are second class citizens which is why Romney did not know of any qualified women to hire, hence the wonderful "binders full of women" comment. Mormon's also feel gays are mentally ill, which is why poor Marie Osmond's son committed suicide. President Obama stands for equality and Romney only stands for the elite
Oct 30, 2012
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2012/ecalculator#?battleground
Nov 2, 2012
I lived in mass romney is a joke if he gets in say good bye to the middle class. he did nothing for massachusets, and he will do nothing as president except for the rich.
May 4, 2013
SO, how did that work out for you?