As Ted Cruz and John Kasich have suspended their campaigns, this leaves Donald Trump as the presumptive nominee. Although Hilary Clinton is ahead in the race for the nomination by 12 points, a new poll shows that Bernie Sanders is more likely to stop Donald Trump’s race to the White House.
The NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll claims Bernie would get 53 percent of votes while Donald Trump gets 40 percent among registered voters if the election were held today.
NBC News states that the poll was “conducted online from May 2 through May 8 of 12,714 adults including 11,089 registered voters.”
Although the poll has Hilary beating Trump, she has a smaller margin win against Trump with 49 percent of votes against Trumps 44 percent. However, Bernie Sanders beats Trump by 13 points with 53 percent of votes while Hilary wins by a much smaller margin of five points.
Sanders is hoping to win big at the West Virginia primary and shows no sign over giving in to Clinton, who only needs about 17 percent of the remaining delegates to win the nomination, according to CBS News. With a strong lead in delegates, Clinton is the favorite to win and go head-to-head with Trump.
Hillary Clinton is confident in defeating both Sanders and Trump with the votes she has gained so far in her presidential campaign.
“I have three million more votes than Senator Sanders and two million more votes than Donald Trump. So, clearly, there is a constituency for a candidate who says, look, we don’t just diagnose the problem. We offer solutions for the problem, because I want to run on an agenda that the people of America can hold me accountable for,” Clinton stated in an interview Sunday on CBS‘s Face the Nation.
Mathematically, Sanders needs the support of the undecided superdelegates and he needs to convince those who have publicly endorsed Clinton to vote for him – about 200 of them, according to CBS News.
Sanders advantage over Clinton lies with young Democratic voters and swing votes among independents and Republicans under the age of 30, according to the NBC News survey.
“About 30 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaners under 30 would vote for Sanders over Trump.”
“When faced with a Clinton-Trump ticket, 18 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning voters under 30 would support Clinton; 78 percent would support Trump.”
This suggest that Sanders can turn Republican-leaning millennial voters to the Democratic party if he gets the nomination. He can also use his popularity with young voters as a negotiation tool if he decides to open up to the idea of being Clinton’s vice president.
In another survey by Quinnipiac University, the results are similar to the NBC News tracking poll. Sanders beats Trump in Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Sanders beats Trump by two points in both Florida and Ohio while beating Trump by six points in Pennsylvania.
In a Clinton-Trump matchup, Hillary takes Florida and Pennsylvania by one point and loses Ohio to Trump’s 43 percent against Hilary’s 39 percent of votes.
The Quinnipiac University focused on these states due to an interesting historical fact: “The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of these three states.”
Most polls show Sanders beating Trump in the general election, which may lead superdelegates to endorse him if he can win convincingly against Clinton in the remaining states.
“If Democrats want to have the strongest candidate against Donald Trump they should look at those polls,” Sanders said to about 6,750 supporters at the Rutgers Athletic Center.
Sanders is hoping to drag Clinton into a Democratic convention showdown and takes the delegates he needs to battle Trump.
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