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Trump Presidential Victory Is A ‘Major Global Risk’ Say Reports

By Abdul Kuddus
Published on: 22:10 PST, Mar 18, 2016

Donald Trump is reportedly a “global risk” and his prospect of winning the U.S. Presidency has many worried. A British research group, Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) likened the rise of Trump to a global threat. The leading global forecasting firm in its ranking considered Trump one of the top 10 global risks this month.

The organization, in its updated global-risk assessment, ranked Trump’s victory in the U.S. elections a 12 on a scale of 1 to 25. Jihadi terrorism also earned the ranking of No. 12 along with Trump.

Reportedly, this is the first time the EIU had rated a U.S. presidential candidate’s election as a global risk.

The London-based EIU ranked Trump as a global risk, saying his rise to power could undermine domestic and foreign policy. It could increase terror attacks and a trade war with Mexico and China. Trump, as the U.S. President, is more catastrophic than Britain exiting from the EU or a possible armed conflict in the South China Sea.

“Trump’s hostile attitude to free trade, and alienation of Mexico and China in particular, could escalate rapidly into a trade war. His militaristic tendencies towards the Middle East (and ban on all Muslim travel to the US) would be a potent recruitment tool for jihadi groups, increasing their threat both within the region and beyond.”

However, the report does not expect Trump to defeat Hillary Clinton who it considers as “his most likely Democratic contender.” The report further noted that several of Trump’s “more radical policies” would die in Congress.

The EIU is not the only organization that rang alarm bells against Mr. Trump. According to an editorial in The Express Tribune, “News establishments, throughout the country and elsewhere, are also in panic mode. CNN’s website repeatedly reminds us that Trump cannot, but should be stopped.”

A prominent Dubai security official warned of a “clash of civilizations” should Trump win the U.S. Presidential race. However, foreign governments across the world are seemingly reluctant to publicly take sides in the U.S. Presidential election.

Donald Trump, in his rallies, has taken a high-pitched, right-wing stand on the Middle East and Muslim fundamentalism, including killing of families of terrorists and wiping out ISIS to acquire its oil fields.

His speeches reportedly propagate violence and carry a message of a divisive, binary politics where non-whites and non-Christians should not find breathing space within the U.S. democratic discourse.

Predictably, Democrat Hillary Clinton is the early contender to win the November election. Although Trump dominated the first weeks of the conservative party’s nomination contests. The billionaire businessman has pledged to use his real estate credentials to boost the U.S. economy, create employment, and improve the stagnant middle-class wages.

Despite Trump’s negative publicity by his opponents, “the businessman is moving closer to clinching the Republican presidential nominee ticket after winning most of the popular vote in primary elections,” BBC reported.

Trump has no political experience but claims his supporters would riot if Republicans deny him the presidential nomination.The savviest user of the media, he has marketed his credentials into very real concerns about free markets, open borders, and the dangers of tolerance.

Even within the Republican Party, the anti-Trump sentiment is visible. Reportedly, opinions are divided on the issue whether a Trump victory hooked to an anti-immigrant stance could dent the party’s credibility for years to come.

The EIU ranking forecasting causing a dent in Trump’s popularity is too early to predict. Moreover, should Trump win the race to the top spot, will the United States diplomacy credentials allow him to translate his radical policies and act recklessly? Meanwhile, Trump’s image as a global risk opens an interesting area of debate. What do you think?

[Photo by George Frey/Getty Images]

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