As the second official New Hampshire Republican and Democrat primary polls roll in, the early numbers are strongly indicating delegate wins for so-called anti-establishment candidates Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders.
After being narrowly beaten out by Ted Cruz in the Iowa caucuses, Donald is holding a strong Republican lead for New Hampshire. A Real Clear Politics collection of New Hampshire poll data projects Trump with more than 30 percent of the vote, more than doubling the performance of his strongest competition — Marco Rubio with 14.4 percent. Closely behind Marco linger John Kasich, Ted Cruz and Jeb Bush, with no other Republican hopeful managing to rack up more than 10 percent of the vote.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, the Democrats’ New Hampshire primary isn’t any more of a nail biter than on the Republican side. Bernie Sanders is expected to walk away with more than half of the state’s vote. One poll from CNN projects as much as a 26-point lead on Hillary Clinton, with Bernie snatching 61 percent compared to Hillary’s 35 percent of the New Hampshire primary vote.
If the polls leading up to the New Hampshire primary turn out to be accurate, it will mean an upset for the winners of both of the Democrat and Republican Iowa caucus: Clinton and Cruz. There, Ted pulled out just a few points ahead of Donald, securing only one extra delegate. Hillary also scored a slim lead, within.3 percent of Sanders, and comes into the New Hampshire primary with an advantage of 2 delegates over Bernie.
Those slight edges on the competition could easily shift if the preliminary New Hampshire polls have successfully called the Republican and Democratic races. As is the case for all of the Democrats’ primary races, both of them feature proportional delegate allocation as opposed to winner-take-all systems, reported Bustle. That means Clinton and Cruz are likely to lose their respective leads. On the Republican side, Ted may even slip into third place behind Marco Rubio — who also only scored one delegate less than him in Iowa.
Still, Sanders stands to gain slightly less in New Hampshire’s Democratic primary. The state boasts only 24 delegates to the 44 handed out in Iowa, meaning he’ll still only manage to pull out a few marks ahead of Hillary even if his most optimistic poll numbers ring true come Tuesday evening. Republicans also have a smaller field of delegates to snatch up in New Hampshire: 23 contrasted with Iowa’s 30.
Even Clinton herself appears to have somewhat conceded her imminent defeat in New Hampshire. The former Secretary of State has remarked that Bernie maintains a clear advantage against her given that he’s been a Senator in neighboring state Vermont for nearly a decade. On Sunday, Sanders told CNN‘s Jake Tapper that he didn’t think that gave him any guarantees.
“Well, in this sense it is. Look, I mean, obviously, Vermont and New Hampshire are separated by a river, we are close states. But you know what? Secretary Clinton won this state in 2008. Her husband ran several campaigns in this state. When we began this campaign here in New Hampshire, we were 30 points down in the polls and she was much better known in this state than I was.”
On the Republican side, the final campaigning before the New Hampshire primaries was especially tense, reported The New York Times. Jeb Bush called poll-leader Donald Trump a loser, with the latter sniping back that he was an embarrassment. On the Democrat side, Hillary Clinton sought to tie Bernie Sanders to Wall Street donors.
[Image via Scott Olson and Richard Ellis/Getty Images]